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I wonder whats happening. All the 1 key misc,hats and other stuff are going down :\ Heck even all-father. Santa is DYING!!!
Classifieds:
1 key x2
1 key Sellers/Solds:
(Sellers)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18265017 - 1 key (Radiated Bananas' trade :P)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18263870 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18263035 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18258303 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18283855 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18283949 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18293579 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18292502 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18294088 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18285875 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18285395 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17605133 - 1 key (4) (1 months)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18229723 - 1key (has a lot)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18293161 - 1 key (Closed his trade)
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10044497 - 1 key
(Solds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18266085 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18266383 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18261633 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18276629 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18275428 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18275431 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18292787 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18277376 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18260185 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18276710 - 4.33 (Schaunfraude)
1.1 Solds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18282238 - 1.1 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18278459 - 1.1 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18267884 - 1.1 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18262571 - 1.1 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18210216 - 1.1 keys (3) (sold one)
1.2 unsolds: (Going to use 1 key 1 ref also)
(1 key 1.33 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18285998 - Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18285426 - Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18266880 - 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18246465 - 2 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18246465 - 2 day (2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18071364 - 1 week
(1 key 1 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18277716 - Almost a day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18258287 - Almost a day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18268279 - 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18190009 - 5 days
Please correct me if I have invalid links ,broken links ,Duped links or anything plain wrong.
Extra proof for my range is appreciated ,as is Counter-proof.
The Governor killed Santa (a.k.a. Hershel) a long time ago...
To tell you the truth guys i'm not quite sure myself ,but 1 key is really common.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18327929
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18327634
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10047857
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18325275
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18324365
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18308624
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18320471
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18317417
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18314795
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18314779
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18321546
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18314557
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18313431
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18310117
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18310263
1 key does sell fast ,but look at this sellers at 1 key ,but as I have said i'm not quite sure. I'll leave this to the admins if they'll accept or not.
Some more proof (Kinda):
1 key sellers/solds:
(Sellers)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18364641
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18364513
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18359372
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18358309
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18362119
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18350325
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18350123
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18348492
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18355324
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18355272
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18353954
http://bazaar.tf/trade/711970
(Solds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18343440
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18362969
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18361723
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18340872
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18353376
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18359577
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18359189
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18359539
Having a hard time making a decision if I should close this. My brain says I should close this for the sure quicksell of a 1 key high five sellers ,but the guts tell me I shouldn't because of the amounts of sellers everday.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18364641 never bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18364513 fine
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18359372 never bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18358309 never bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18362119 never bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18350325 bumped two hours after creation, day old now
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18350123 never bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18348492 never bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18355324 instasell (not in bp)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18355272 never bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18353954 meh ok, but hasn't been bumped in 4 hours (in proportion to creation time, this is poorly bumped but eh)
http://bazaar.tf/trade/711970 fine
could've been quicksells if they bumped properly? (obviously referring to the poorly/never bumped marked ones)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18343440 instasell
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18362969 40minute sell
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18361723 instasell
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18340872 bout an hour to sell
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18353376 instasell
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18359577 took several hours to sell (so maybe valid?)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18359189 hard to tell for this one as there's other stuff being sold in the same trade, won't pass judgement here
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18359539 few hours to sell
showing 1 key is a quicksell, doesn't help your case
Sold mine for 1 key + 1 ref within a few hours: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18273130
Outlier perhaps? Maybe I should resuggest for 1-1.2keys
I got a random add 2 days ago looking to buy one for 8 ref even though I didn't even have one.
Probably because you did a previous price suggestion on it.
*cough* happens to me all the time *cough* >_>
1 Key + 1 Ref is 1.1 Keys really, not 1.2 Keys...
There are a lot of quicksellers/solds for 1 Key, and 1.2 Keys seems unable to sell. Maybe 1.1 Keys flat will be best.
1.15 keys is 1 key 1 ref which is the average of the current range. Thus, if 1 key 1 ref is still selling well the current range is spot on
After looking this over once more, I think 1 key + 1 ref gets traded often enough that the high end should be 1.15 keys. I don't have an issue with the low end of 1 key. Perhaps my opinion is colored by my experience with this item, so you might wait for another mod to comment. But I think 1-1.15 is better.
There are just too much coming out on Live Deals via trade.tf. I do think this Taunt needs to drop to 1-1.1 keys.
Upvote
This is because 1 key 1 ref and 8 ref now comes through in the live deals now that key prices have gone up previously these would have been at 0% profit and wouldn't have displayed
With that much sales at 1 key, I don't think the range now is right. Yes, I agree with you that it sells quick, but still, there are more 1 key sales than 1.1 keys.
Fair enough, I think 1.1 key flat would be better, but we'll see what happens hey? :)
Seems like half your 1 key are sold or poorly bumped still seems like a quicksell to me.
Some new 1 key Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18304023
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18303039
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18306054
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18306034
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10046864
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18300123
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18300887
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18303039
1 key sells fast ,but look at all the sellers. 1-1.1 key is a valid range now even if the low range sells quick.
Link 1 - selling at 1 key 1 ref
Link 2 - sold within a day
Link 3 - sold within a day
Link 4 - sold without a bump
Link 5 - sold (no idea when)
Link 6 - sold within a day
Link 7 - sold within 8 hours
Link 8 - same as link 2
My own personnel sales in the last 5 hours
At 1 key
http://bazaar.tf/trade/709637
http://bazaar.tf/trade/709634
http://bazaar.tf/trade/709354
http://bazaar.tf/trade/709152
http://imgur.com/MhjZoAL
http://imgur.com/sbSxr4o
At 1.1 keys
http://imgur.com/7m6c1mW
1 key seems like a massive quicksell to me still
Sales followed by the time it took to sell
Sales at 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18321546 - within 1 hour
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18314557 - within 6 hours (trader admitted leaving it up even though it was sold so actual time for sale unknown)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18313431 - no bump
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18310117 - 50 mins
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18308661 - no bump (7.33 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18308517 - 1 hour 50 mins
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18306034 - no bump
http://bazaar.tf/trade/708246 - within 4 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18300970 - no bump
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18300300 - no bump
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18300123 - 18 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18299227 - within 2 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18298736 - 1 hour
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18298088 - no bump
Sales at 1.1 keys (1 key 2 rec)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18313191 - no bump
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18300192 - 16 hours
Sales at 1.15 keys (1 key 1 ref)
There's a bunch of these as well but I'm going out, someone else might get them for me, otherwise watch this space for my glorious return!
As promised sales at 1.15 (1 key 1 ref)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18307966
http://imgur.com/ZNO2BWJ
http://imgur.com/MVDABHO
http://imgur.com/k1UL4Tm
http://imgur.com/0jmvu0n
http://imgur.com/aXSGz2B
tthem counterproofs
Bought one for 1 key today.
Though it took quite some time to find a buyer.
Upvote
not feeling comfortable with 1key as the low end since it seems to have been proven that 1key is a quicksell
Good amount of proof. Upvote 👍
Good Proof : Upvote
(Now all these items are going down this is how the economy is going to slowly crash, still upvote)
for those of you guys saying "good amount of proof", that may be, but may want to take a look at the counter proof provided... (and the notations made by people for some of the suggester's proof showing them to be quicksells)
Todays 1 key Sellers/Solds:
(Sellers)
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10050865- 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18374766 - 1 key (2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18382125 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18380880 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18380209 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18378526 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18364641 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18374700 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18374483 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18374248 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18375205 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18377947 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18377261 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18376986 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18380705 - 1 key
http://bazaar.tf/trade/713467
(Solds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18379032 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18377079 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18375022 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18376707 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18375287 - 1 key
Maybe that can change your mind?
(Solds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18379032 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18377079 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18375022 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18376707 - 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18375287 - 1 key
s'all quicksolds
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10050865- young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18374766 - 5+ hours offline
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18382125 - young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18380880 - young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18380209 - young and banned
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18378526 - young, unbumped so far
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18364641 - day old, never bumped so far
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18374700 - 9hours young, bumped 8 hours go, I'm the 9th viewer....
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18374483 - young, 4hours offline
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18374248 - 9hours young, last bumped 5 hours ago, 12th viewer be me
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18375205 - 8hours young, bumped 7 hours ago, 12viewer be me again
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18377947 - young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18377261 - 6hours young, never bumped so far
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18376986 - 6hours young again, never bumped so far again
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18380705 - young
http://bazaar.tf/trade/713467 young
too early to tell if they'll be quicksells
Maybe you should point your eyes on the one key sellers not the solds. Not only that check my other 1 key seller up top.
see my 4minute old edit vs. your less than a minute old comment on that :P
edit: as requested, I took a look at 1key sellers up top, see my new comment (for posterity, I made this comment originally at bout 8:22 pm 3/4/2014 EST)
Why can't you guys understand that 1 key is a common price for this now in tf2outpost? Heck i've proven that in the last 4 days. Showing all the 1 key sellers/solds of everyday since i made this suggestion.
because 1key looks like a quicksell frankly. you've also been counterproven kinda by somebody :X
I'm showing my point this should go down because 1 key isn't an "Instasolds" and with 1 key is not even in the range. Why did it not instasolds?
1key is an instasell according to the majority of the proof you provided categorized under 1key sold. quicksells (instasells) do not prove your point here, they don't really work as proof for lowering. and again, for all those 1key sellers who aren't sold, the vast majority are either young or never bumped :| they either have missed due to poor bumping or haven't had the chance to be shown to be a quicksell or not
Then tell me then. Why have the admins not close this if 1 key is an quicksell? It's because I have some proof 1 key is fairly common. Heck I even think this should close ,but everyday i just check trade.tf and find a big amount of sellers for this ,making me go back and prove that this should go down. and why dislike my comments? If I ever offend you sorry ,but defending my suggestion is my priority.
Oh and I just found this:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18382339
Doens't help a lot ,but proof is proof.
Just a different opinion mate :) Just for reference there are 90 - 110 trades opened for this everyday so it's not surprising that some trades fall through the gaps when they're poorly bumped, even if they are below backpack.tf price
i sold one in less than 4 hours for 1 key+1 ref: http://i.imgur.com/8eXwwSH.png
also sold this for 1 key+1.44 ref like 3 weeks ago: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17770667
and 1 key goes very fast
Another couple of counter proofs:
Sold at 1.1 keys (bottom of the range) *lol he said bottom*
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18380705 - within 10 hours
http://imgur.com/tSjpBdt - within 9 hours
Sold at 1.15 keys (1 key 1 ref)
http://imgur.com/I9bNBpb
Sold at 1.2 keys (Top of the range)
http://bazaar.tf/trade/713294
I think i'm at a stand still now. I won't do anything else for this suggestion unless someone ask for me to provide more proof.
I'll just leave it to the admins to decide. Hopefully by tomorrow I can see what happens to this suggestion ,be it accepted or not. Oh and nice reference Napolean :P
:D I think you're right, tough call for the admins
i thought it allready was on a key :p
I suppose "counterproof" is not really worthy as far as Stealth provided tons of proof for his suggestion. A couple of links of counterproof can't overtake the economy.
What is more, I think that this taunt is in very high demand, that's why it sells pretty quick. But 1-1.1 range is the right one. 1.2 solds are outliers, not the range.
Upboat!
p.s. Napoleon, 1 key + 1 ref = 1.1 key estimating that 1 key = 7.05 ref. It's all about Maths.
I addressed this above but i guess i can say it again :) 1 key 1 ref is 1.15 keys, the average of the current range. Thus, if 1 key 1 ref is still selling well then current range is spot on, if its not then its not :)
1 key 1 ref is 1.1 key if we round to 1 decimal place. Cos 8.05/7.05 = 1.14
Yes, but that is inaccurate, see these price suggestions where the most traded price was 1 key 1 ref and the range accepted 1.1-1.2 keys
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/52de28324cd7b86c758b456c
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/530004cf4dd7b878468b4568
1.14 is closer to 1.15 than it is to 1.10 you realize
I said "if we round to 1 decimal place". Can you see the difference?
no I know you did, but napoleon's point is that it's closer to 1.15 therefore being out of the suggested range :|
The problems with key priced items xD As dr1ftec says rounding off makes sense, but people consider 1 key 1 ref as 1.1 key. ,as well as 1.2 key. So as i said it really depends on the admins if they want to accept it or not. People are going to fight over the key priced items until the price of keys are made to an even number.
I tried to save Santa by downvoting the Kringle Collection around last October... I couldn't do it alone, George. They killed him, and killed him dead. ;~;That's a lot of proof for one key, but I will remain neutral for now.
B/c it is much easier to down vote something than to bump something. Normally, I click the on checks for all the downing votings without even a blink, and I believe most people do the same thing. And that is why the bp pricing system is absolute BS!!!
the admins go in and check all the proof/ comments before passing a suggestion through. people going through and clicking all the checks for decreasing price votes as you do is why they have to do this you realize? a fair amount of the bptf community don't actively participate with comments/ feedback and I've seen plenty with voting success rates at very low percentages because they probably blindly vote without bothering to check on anything
Keys miscs are going down because key prices keep rising for no reason.
they're rising because *speculation time* more players -> more weapon drops -> more metal crafts -> more metal in the market/economy -> metal is devalued -> keys have steady price at 2-2.5 USD ish, more metal is needed to reach the real world money value of keys
edit: also this isn't a misc, you're mixing your item types up
It appears that 1 key occurs too frequently to leave out of range, even if it's daringly close to quicksell. There's some contention over the high range being 1.1 keys instead of 1.15, but that comes down to a matter of rounding to one decimal point rather than two- certianly not worth closing a suggestion over against all proof and votes. If anyone feels that strongly over the inclusion of the extra decimal place, feel free to countersuggest after the fact.
Accepting.