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For all those who originally bought this thing for a key, may God have mercy on your soul.
Last suggestion was just a little too early. Still a lot of people on Outpost trying to sell for 5 ref to 1 key despite no buyers for weeks. GG.
Classifieds:
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/52c8a8fe4cd7b8483b8b4567
1 for 2.33
1 for 2.55
4 for 3 ref
Unsolds for 3.66 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18267701 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18113939 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18259126 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18293958 Young, 3 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18294384 Young, 3 hours
Unsolds for 3.44
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18259831 1 day
Unsolds for 3.33 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18174620 5 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18285750 Young, 10 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18278608 Young, 21 hours
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18166731 6 days, says he's willing to settle for a lower price
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18224661 3 days, not bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18285750 Young, 11 hours
Other unsolds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18231823 Says he doesn't know prices, so not sure what he's selling at (3 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18026371 1 week old trade, only one offer which is for 2 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17796005 No idea if this is even a real trade, but no actual offers in 3 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18257181 No offers in 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18250529 No offers in 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17915932 2 week old trade, only one offer for 2 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18273448 1 day, no offers
Sellers at 3 ref and below:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18296338 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18268879 3 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17945981 2.88 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18278315 2.33 ref, has two
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18288602 2 ref, has two
Conclusion:
3.66 and higher doesn't seem to be selling. I've decided to keep 3.33 in the range for now since the unsolds I've provided aren't too solid, 2 being young and 1 being unbumped. I've used most (if not every) Outpost trade for these of sellers selling for 3,66 and below, since the more expensive unsolds don't reflect the current range. Yes, I am aware that I have some young links, but within the next day or two we'll be able to see if the range provided is sufficient. Please leave any constructive criticism or counter-proof in the comments if you disagree.
Not bad proof. Much better than first suggestion. But i think you need more 3 ref sellers 2 isnt enough
Your only 3 ref sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18296338 3 ref 1 day(young), never bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18268879 3 ref 1 hour(young), never bumped
Gotta downvote until more proof is added :/
There were 4 more sellers at 3 ref in the Classifieds.
I think I read somewhere that classifieds dont really count as proof...
But anyhow. The 3 ref sellers are 2 hours, 6 hours, 1 day and 3 days ago, :/ mostly young
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/792-how-to-make-a-good-suggestion-bullet-points-version/ According to this, Classifieds are valid proof. Also, the 3 ref sellers are to show that people are willing to go under bp.tf price to sell these, not to show unsolds since 3 ref is not in the old range. Thanks anyway for the feedback.
But the 3 ref sellers are young, which doesnt really count as valid proof yet. If I got a Team Captain for 1.33 ref off scrap.tf that doesnt mean people are willing to go under, its just 1 trade. And as clever pun said, backpack.tf classifieds are unreliable. I agree this needs a bump. But 3 ref shouldnt be included.
Also, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18296338 sold. Not in his backpack anymore, just forgot to close trade.
EDIT: 1 of the classified ones sold too. Yeah still a downvote
from your unsolds at 3.33:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18278608 not in his bp
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18174620 sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18285750 closed, has it equipped, decided not to sell?
this http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18224661 is now this http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18332428
from the 3.66 unsolds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18259126 user was banned :|
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18293958 trade was closed
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18294384 sold
from your other unsolds section
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18026371 invalid, asking for offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18231823 invalid, asking for offers (effectively)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17796005 this is a joke...not sure how anyone would think this is real .-.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18273448 closed
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17915932 closed
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18250529 offers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18257181 offers and closed
this entire section is effectively useless to your proof .-.
The purpose of the 'Other Unsolds' section was to help prove that this item needs a drop. All of them have either no offers or low offers, which is meant to show that the item is not in demand and needs to go down in price. I added 3.33 ref links in case they weren't selling, but since I included 3.33 in the range the sold links don't damage my proof necessarily.
Also, the seller at http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18259126 wasn't banned when I added the link, so there was no way I could have expected the trade would be closed like that.
I remember making this thing 1 key. First ever accepted suggestion, but hype dies down at some point. Upboating.
Additional proof
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18335145 Selling for 3-3.33 ref
Young 3.66 sellers (to be determined successful later):
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18337267
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18337970
Older 3.66 sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18077515 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18309505 1 day ---------------> Reduced price to 3.33: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18340600
Sellers under 3-3.33 ref:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18298379 2.33
Additional proof
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18267701 from 3.66 unsolds reduced price to 3 ref ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18352818
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17898890 3.33 ref, unsold for 3 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18343427 Unsold 3.66, 1 day
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18307288 3 ref seller
Sellers will always sell for above and below bp.tf prices. We are trying to reflect the most common trade points which do seem to be 3-3.33. There are a few going for 3.66 just as a few shown here are going for under 3