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5 month old price
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18119135
Sold for harvest Dapper + 10 keys + ~3 keys in items = ~5.1 buds
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197966905013?time=1392883200
http://backpack.tf/id/76561197966905013?time=1393056000
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17416326
Sold for 6 pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16340959
Sold for Sulphurous Fed Fightin Fedora + Nuts n Bolts Bonk Boy
This is probably about 5 buds.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17163312
Offered + lvl 97 max for Terror Brainiac
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198022050966?time=1390723200
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198022050966?time=1390982400
Brainiac is old priced, current B/Os are 8-9 sales have ranged from 6-8: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/52eb35444dd7b833068b4568
That would make the range of this sale = 3.5-5.5 buds
Current Trades:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14762936 B/O 8 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17762018 B/O 7.5 buds
These are the only sales i could find in the last few months. I'm going with 5-6 as a conservative drop.