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Needs a update.
New price: 3.4-3.6
[proof below]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17640714 - Sold for a GE Trophy = 3.6 buds.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16903666 - Bought for a Heart Milkman = 3.4 buds.
There are A LOT of ownership changes that have taken place between when your second link sold and now, so I'm not sure if those two links reflect the entire market.
However: quickseller at 3.5: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17959539
This guy was selling it for 2 buds + 16 keys (2.8) before he got hacked. It looks like it got duped after that. May be an outlier, but it's worth mentioning.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17448363
I think he got some adds on some of his other trades with it.
But then here a week ago someone traded Kill-a-watt slope scopers for it, which is 3.7-5.5: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17882622
I used all the valid sales in there under 2 months.
The scopers is also outdated, hence why I didn't used it.
Please have a look at the offers i got. I think the current range is appropriate.
If you need proof of any offers, just ask.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18312482
nvm, just sold it for a scorching larrikin, i added 12 keys. I think this is a good suggested range
Great deal, congrats :)
I still think that the kill a watt will go up in time. But for now, 3.4 - 3.6 is a fair price range.