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lolwut: 8 month old value
Buyouts:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18314776 - 1 Bud ~ 3 Days
http://backpack.tf/u/76561198051010086 - 1.3 Buds ~ 3 Days
http://backpack.tf/u/76561198081202206 - 1.4 Buds ~ 4 Days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15907835 - 1.5 Buds ~ 3 Months
Counters:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17772457 - 1 Bud [Must Add 2 Keys] ~ 3 Weeks
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16791128 - 17 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17552636 - 1 Bud + Minor Sweets
About all I found :/ so I hope it is sufficient enough 👍
Your 17 keys sold in a day, that's a Quicksale.
It did not sell in 1 day:
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198056919587?time=1387008000 - 12/14/13
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198056919587?time=1389513600 - 1/12/14
Nothing in-between therefore the backpack did not change within that time period (no trading, etc.)
12/14/13 he had the cone
1/12/14 it was gone
Then how do you know it sold for 17? How do you know it wasn't a quicksale? Also backpacks do not update if set to private.
I'd say it's rare that someone would trade something to someone else and then back for a price. It's safe to say it was in his backpack.
It still sold in 1 day, Yanbo even has an added comment down below on the 30th, Trade began on the 29th. It was Quicksold.
Might I ask, where do you see it say the trade started on the 29th and the comment by Yanbo was on the 30th?
All I see is 2 months for both :/
Is there an extra setting to enable that allows you to see precisely?
Click on the 2 months part, is shows exact date and times.
Sold:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15592526 - 1 Bud [Resold Bud for 15 Keys 5 Ref]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15591568 - Blizzy Hard Top ~ 16 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14036038 - Blizzy Guadalajara ~ 1.1 Buds
Those are to old, anything at 3 month mark or beyond are invalid. Especially for an unusual that has as many in existance as this one.
If the price had not changed prior to my proof then I feel it is very valid.
Blizzy Hard Top is still same value as was then.
Gaudalajara is still same value as was then.
I checked this before I posted to make sure...
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet/
Sales older than 2 months old are not valid proof; this does not mean that they are not useful - please see full guide for how to use older sales in the context of new sales. The one exception to point out here is for very rare hats. If there have only been 1-2 sales in the last 3 months, a trade up to 3 months old is okay to use as proof to establish more data points. Keep in mind, new sales should take precedence over older ones.
Sorry, regardless of what you think or feel, it's not valid, it's a rule established by the admins.
Ok, thanks for the information, it clearly supports the other sales as is it not "outlier" so it should at least, help.
Trades older than 2 months should not be used. As for that 17 key sale, it sold in one day and was probably a quicksell. The older one you have as a blizz hard top sold in1 day and within 23 views, so it also seems rather quick. Your other sale of bud + sweets is valid, so a slightly higher range could work.
The backpack history doesn't show any in-between dates because nobody visited the backpack in between, so there was no data recorded.