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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17620802 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17900985 + http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18039214 ~13
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17578069 1;1 c9 warpig (no price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17547071 (old prices)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17491029 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17559798 (old)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17448896 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17491029 (old / unpriced)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18206504 big sales each way
I guess a conservative bump down. It's hard to figure out what the value of the warpig and greased lightning would have been 1 month ago when the trades happened. Right now the lightning + jeepcap would be ~10, but it would have been higher then.
Warpig has b/os at 10-13, but that would probably also have been higher at the time.
I'm fine with using this as a conservative drop