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**Re-suggesting as the range didnt work properly on the last one**
This poor hat just doesnt sell at 1 key anymore :(
Finding these trades without special levels or paint for this suggestion was a nightmare :/
~~~~~~~~~~~~~Classifieds~~~~~~~~~~~~~
1 x 7 ref - 5 days old
4 x 1 key - 3 hours, 11 hours, 1 day and 4 days old respectively
Screenshot (soz dont know how to resize)
http://imgur.com/AB8RWCt
Now onto Outpost!
~~~~~~~~~~~~~Unsold for less than 1 key ~~~~~~~~~~~~~
6 Ref seller: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18339773 - 4 days old, unbumped (but still in backpack)
6.33 Ref seller : http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18393467 - 1 day old
6.88 Ref Seller: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18386780 - 1 day old
~~~~~~~~~~~~~Unsolds at 1 key/ Backpack.tf Price~~~~~~~~~~~~~
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18416547 - 6 hours old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18412322 - 11 hours old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18406921 - 17 hours old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18397065 - 1 day old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18353981 - 3 days old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18314891 - 5 days old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18274276 - 1 week old, poorly bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17794572 - 4 weeks old, still in backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15674451 - 3 months old, no offers during that time, still in backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14138196 - 6 months old, no offers or interest in the last 3 months, still in backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14095332 - 6 months old, no offers or interest in the last 5 months, still in backpack
~~~~~~~~~~~~~Buyers~~~~~~~~~~~~~
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15673314 - Buying at 4 ref. One month ago there was an offer for 5 ref to buy but am unsure whether the trade was made as there are two v.tyrants in the backpack but both are painted.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14941281 - Buying for 4 ref. Had 1 add at this price 3 days ago, however the trade has not yet been made as there is no tyrant in this persons backpack.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18065636 - buying for 5 ref.
Conclusion:
This hat is very hard to sell for 1 key. On outpost some have been unsold for 4 weeks+ (up to 6 months). Even at a lower price (6 ref, 6.33, 6.88 and 7 ref) they are still unsold from between 1 day and 4 days. This hat has been hard enough to sell that there was even someone willing to sell for 4 ref recently (this is an outlier however)
Verdict:
Change the price range to between 6 ref (0.85 keys) and 1 key
Comments, proof, counter-proof and constructive criticism are all welcomed, still getting used to this suggestion business - my second suggestion :)
Thanks :)
In this case buyers doesn't really help you with your proof. Buyers at a price higher than the current range may help you, but since this is lowering the price, you need more sellers for the low end.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18339773 invalid, horrendously bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18386780 this sold
^ from your unsolds at less than a key. the first link isn't valid proof for your low end because it might have been a quicksell if the trade owner actually bumped the trade properly, but we don't know that so it can't be used as proof
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15673314 - Buying at 4 ref. One month ago there was an offer for 5 ref to buy but am unsure whether the trade was made as there are two v.tyrants in the backpack but both are painted.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/14941281 - Buying for 4 ref. Had 1 add at this price 3 days ago, however the trade has not yet been made as there is no tyrant in this persons backpack.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18065636 - buying for 5 ref.
^ these 3 are quickbuyers, they do nothing for your suggestion :P
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17794572 invalid, poor bumping
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15674451 this sold for a key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18274276 invalid, awful bumping
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18353981 invalid, poor bumping
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18412322 sold for a key
^ from your 1key "unsolds"
yeah so when i was making this suggestion i found every trade that was selling these that was not painted or special levels. So i agree some of this is not the best bumped proof, but it is the only proof/only trades. There was only 3 trades that i didn't put in which where 1key+ because that wouldnt have been relevant to the suggestion.
also i did leave 1 key in the range as they do sell at that value but they also sell lower as well
I currently own this hat, and i've had it for ages... Well, a youtuber called sh3ll3r had it for a few days but i got it back. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15674451 - 3 months old, no offers during that time, still in backpack
one unbumped link isn't enough for a low end
i agree that there isnt much at the low end, but all at the normal price do not sell, and there are only 4 selling for all different values that are lower than current price (6, 6.33, 6.88 and 7 ref).
So what would you suggest the range should be then?
While it is very hard to sell for a key, it is hard to draw a conclusion as to what the low end should be, as each of the three links below 1 key all have different prices. Best just to wait and see
^This, i'm pretty sure there are still some Vintage Tyrant's being sold for a key or its equivalent, and one 4-day old unbumped trade is not a viable link for the suggested low-end. So the current price seems fine at the moment, or you could attempt - 6.33-7 or 6.66-7, but I doubt it will be successful with only 1 link, 2 max supporting that low end.
i wasnt able to find any sales for the helm at 1 key, and due to the length of time some of these hats have been unsold for it seems that they dont sell very regularly at all at this range, but if you have counter proof of 1 key sales im more than happy to be wrong.
Indeed the 1 key trades currently up are days old, but I suppose that's to be expected with Vintage hats as they do take a while to sell. I might scrape through some trades for 1 key sales if I get the time, but my previous point stands nonetheless.
yeah i totally agree. i was originally only intending to put it as a conservitive bump by lowering by like 1rec or something, its just there wasnt any links at the 6.66 price, even though logically thats what i would have put it as.
so do you think i should re-suggest then at like a 6.33-7 ref range?
but then again if i did resuggest at that range im not sure i could put 7 ref cos most people dont want ref and only want keys, which would mean my suggestion would go back to 0.89-1 key (6.33/7.11 = 0.89) which is fairly close (0.04 of a key) away from my current suggestion
so yeah, not 100% sure what to do
I am still curious with the range. People will might get confused with the 0.85 end. I stay neutral.