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My analysis of this particular Misc includes my own insight, actual sales, and tedious research. I do this not only for my own sake, but for those with this particular hat also.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18326649 My own trade:
KAW luchadore+c9 marauder+10 keys (via chat)(c9 marauder at 3.8 before the drop) ~roughly ~10 before drop, 9 after drop.
Trade server offers, you need not believe these claims, but I assure you these are legitimate offers.
Dead Presidents Antlers+gifted Miami Rack ~N/A
c9 Samureye+miami sack ~N/A
Miami Antlers if I were to add ~1.5 pure. ~N/A
Conclusion
Offers of 9 easy in unusuals
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17945291 My own trade:
Rejected offer of 5 pure
C9 casemaker+vivid buckaroos ~roughly 6+
Terror Hwnn+jumpers jeepcap KAW ~roughly 6 (outdated prices)(void)
Retracted offer of a Overclocked Tc ~roughly 7.5 (outdated prices)(void)
Terror Watt Anger ~roughly 6+ as KAW is ~6.8.
Conclusion
Offers of 6-7 easy, rejected.
Actual Sells
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18418855 Sold for a bubbling hazmat.
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198028179754?time=1394092800
~roughly 7-8 via bp.tf.
Conclusion
Sold for 7-8 via bp.tf
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18345438
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198062011686?time=1393660800 bought for a terror watt brainiac hairpiece.
~outdated bp price of 9 buds. Realistically 7-8 upon quick inspection. Requesting update on said hat. (outdated prices)(void)
Conclusion
Sold for outdated 9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18396899
Bought for: Disco Beat down Tyrolean ~roughly 9-11 buds.
Sold for: Disco Beat down Samureye ~unpriced. (one up for 7 pure.)
Conclusion
Sold for 9 or more in unusuals
And last but not least:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18144792
Bought for 7 pure buds. (jake LFT)(quicksell)
Conclusion
Easily 7 pure.