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Considering only clean (this one is dupped http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17662860 as most of the rest)
Sold
1) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17564984 . The set has been sold to Tag for 280$ + 1 bud + unusual Gym Rat (Green energy) + ~5 keys worth sweets
Australlium flame thrower = G. E. Gym Rat: Axtinguisher = 1 bud, s f flare gun + miscs = those sweets, so Merry = 280$ (bud = ~37)/// totally 7.5 buds for only hat
2) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17998336 Sold for 116 keys pure + strange festve flare gun with parts (like 4 keys), so a bit over than 6 buds.
3) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16446544 1 Clean Max's Head (Level 16), 1 Bud + 40keys = ~6 buds
Offers:
£160 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17207766 = 7,2 buds
Miami Flamenco + 10 keys http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18055415 ~7 buds
Roboactive Trilby http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18055415 = 6.1 buds
So you're high end is based on an offer?
Meh..
well u can see even 7.5 buds in solds, but I thought that I need to choose average prices between solds and offers. And I guess the 7 is an optimal
well there is the 7.5 sale - can lets say be called an outlier and round it to 7 where the offers lie?