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Sales within the last 3 months:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18043936 : 1.5 buds pure
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18097467 : Miami Nights Stunts Helmet: 2.3 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17863290 : Dead Presidents Brigade Helm 2 buds (outdated)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18499714 : Dead Presidents Lord Cockswain's Pith Helm 1.7 buds
Analysis
Subtracting 10% of the non pure offers yields results of 1.5 buds, 1.8 buds (outdated), and 2.1 buds. We also have a confirmed sale of 1.5 buds pure.Thus I recommend 1.5 buds low and 2.1 buds max.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18097467 - b/o 2 buds for 3 weeks.
Also not sure where you're getting your high-end from.
http://backpack.tf/item/2210143330
That hat was sold and left that person's backpack. That trade was then reopened. The hat sold still shows up in another person's backpack registered under another owner. I don't know if they sold it and then told steam that they were scammed and used their one free pass to get a duped one or what happened. I linked the history on top.
A bit was added for the pith, so that sale is closer to 1.5-1.6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17863290 - this was sold for a mn robo stuntman which is unpriced
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18097467 - and this one hasn't sold yet. the miami nights stuntman offer was retracted and is not valid.
There just isn't enough here for your high end.