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First price suggestion, let's hope it's a decent one.
Okay, lemme start off by saying that there's 3 pages on outpost, and less than a page of ones that aren't killstreak/specialized/professional. There's also 0 listed on bazaar
Proof current range is no longer valid.
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18445194[/url] c/o of 3.33
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18269817[/url] declined backpack.tf price
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18277840[/url] offered 3 ref, hasn't accepted
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18583417[/url] sold within an hour at 2.66
[url]http://gyazo.com/64aab7e88ae4d753eb5a65aac044ccba[/url] classified at time of listing, two that aren't killstreak at 4.66
New suggested low end
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/8871198[/url] offered 4 ref
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18540915[/url] offered 4 ref
New suggested high end
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18510866[/url] sold 6 at 4.66
Not necessarily part of proof, but the average selling price according to trade.tf is 4.22
[url]http://gyazo.com/7bd005c44ae9d03076d9a62af3260fba[/url]
And that's it folks. 3 pages on outpost. None on bazaar. Everything else has a killstreak kit of some kind applied to it. I really hate to make my proof based on so very little, but this is seriously all there is.
As this is my first suggestion, all critique is welcomed as long as it's constructive. Any counter proof is welcome too.
You need actual proof that the 4.66 ref actually sold. The seller can say he sold 10 when he actually sold none
Scroll down a bit on the 4.66 one, TriYal said he sent a trade offer. He has a machina in his backpack from Container of Coffee, the guy selling.
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2439886496,526,1[/url]
So that's just one sale. I'm going neutral until more sales at 4.66 ref.
Not that bad for a first suggestion.
I am the guy who declined the bp.tf price.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18269817
Someone offered 4.66 ref.
It's Killstreaked...
That's a killstreak one, I was trying not to use those as proof as they're not just the machina. I assumed it was like how we can't use painted items as proof.
Got my G. Specialized killstreak one for 3 keys, (iduno if this helps :p)
Looks good. Like your proof, upvote.
I sold mine for 3 ref. This was dated back about a week ago. Sold it within a few hours after I posted the trade.
TF2OP Trade: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18485015
Proof of trade: http://puu.sh/7ww62.png
Most of your rejections are very old trades; anyone can try selling something for a month, but if it takes that long to get decent offers, they are usually just stubborn.
As TriAsian pointed out, you only have one example of your high end, and the person is probably lying about how many they've sold.
The first 4 ref offer has neither 4 ref nor a G machina in their pack.
Both parts of your range have only one real trade to back them up, and that is a very minimal amount of proof for such a large jump.
That said, current range is definitely too low. There are 5 buyers on outpost for the current price, and none of them have any in their pack (so they either haven't bought any, or flipped them for more).
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18092861
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18431866
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18426634
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18374741
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18478065
All other buyers are below current price.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18571175 Sold for s sniper + 2 ref? Outlier by the looks of it
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18560585 Another qs at 2.66
The SCM is hovering around .90 USD, which is ~3 ref, depending on conversion used.
While this is a good effort for a first suggestion, there is simply not enough evidence here for the range you have suggested. Without additional points of reference, it is hard to say how much it should be put up by, but I think you should collect some more links and suggest this again when you can get a clearer idea of its price.