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All credit to
BrunoApothicЯ.Only recent traceable sale that I found.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/10309076
8 month old price, hat took 10 months to sell, sold at 7 buds pure.
Any other proof would be appreciated.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17066725
Sold for a Miami Nights HWNN + Terror-Watt Bicorne + 2 buds
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197992148092?time=1389340800
(sort the bp by time to see them)
I checked the histories of the items, however the TW Bicorne's price is 5 months old. With the current set prices it comes to about 11.4 buds. In a situation like this it's hard to determine the outlier but 7 buds seems like a pretty steep drop and is just based on one sale.
Both have outdated prices, the HWNN is 4 months old and the Bicorne is 5, as you said. I wouldn't consider it a valid sale, seeing as how both need an update. They're summer effects, which means there's no way those prices are still correct.
It might still be worth looking into though, I mean your the suggester so it's all up to you. Chances are the updated prices of those would probably make the overall price fall to around the same as the 7 buds pure sale. Either way this hat is in need of a drop. I know someone who won't be pleased with you... :3
Well I just posted one link at 7 buds to counter-prove the suggestion of the last guy, but some have been sold the last 2 months, you should dig more next time.
Here are some of hats' histories:
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1658338043,383,5[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,1505891919,383,5[/url]
[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2376482504,383,5[/url]
More than 10 sales the last 2 months... I let you the time to explore them
Downvote for now
Closing my own suggestion due to finding sales higher, most of which are on dupes.