Sellers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18631885 2 keys and 1 refined (4 hours old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18567095 2 keys and 2 refined (2 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18590260 2.3 keys (1 day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18590846 17 refined (1 day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18628940 2.4 keys (9 hours old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18629596 2 keys and 3 refined (7 hours old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18617419 2 keys and 3 refined (23 hours old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18614542 2 keys and 3 refined (1 day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18615562 2 keys and 3 refined (1 day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18584331 2 keys and 3 refined (2 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18587168 2 keys and 3 refined (2 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18494982 2 keys and 3 refined (7 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18431233 2 keys and 3 refined (10 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18425502 2 keys and 3 refined (10 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18624319 2 keys and 3.55 refined (17 hours old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18610446 2.5 keys (1 day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18608685 2.5 keys (1 day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18603805 2.5 keys (1 day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18608868 2.5 keys (1 day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18605198 2.5 keys (1 day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18634271 2 keys and 4 refined (1 hour old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18628425 2 keys and 4 refined (10 hours old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18626366 2 keys and 4 refined (14 hours old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18600859 2 keys and 4 refined (1 day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18581420 2 keys and 4 refined (2 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18558247 2 keys and 4 refined (3 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18557811 2 keys and 4 refined (3 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18497668 2 keys and 4 refined (7 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18485933 2 keys and 4 refined (8 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18440342 2 keys and 4 refined (9 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18422183 2 keys and 4 refined (10 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18407208 2 keys and 4 refined (11 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17952476 2 keys and 4 refined (1 month old | reseller)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18208106 2 keys and 4.66 refined (3 weeks old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18630896 2.7 keys (5 hours old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18620463 2.7 keys (21 hours old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18597387 2.7 keys (1 day old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18542947 2.7 keys (4 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18633102 2 keys and 5 refined (2 hours old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18631111 2 keys and 5 refined (5 hours old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18628387 2 keys and 5 refined (10 hours old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18558438 2 keys and 5 refined (3 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18455482 2 keys and 5 refined (9 days old)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16010103 2 keys and 5 refined (3 months old | reseller)

Ambiguous “selling for backpack.tf price”:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18594420

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18621055

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18600854

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18633548

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18621641

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18628014

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18481086

http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/52d2350d4dd7b8303a8b4568 plenty available in the classifieds for ~2.4 keys (2 keys and 3 refined)

This suggestion was brought on by the fact that I was sitting with a Festive Scattergun for sale all weekend for 2 keys and 2 refined with no takers. I have since then reduced my price to 2 keys and 1 refined and have still had no takers for the past 7 hours.

However, benefit of the doubt is that they're most likely still selling for that amount. trade.tf currently lists the value around 2.3-2.4 keys: [url]http://www.trade.tf/price/669/6/None[/url], but I did not find enough proof to fully justify 2.3 keys (2 keys and 2 refined), so I will not being adding that into the range. Its sort of a toss-up right now since 2.5 keys (2 keys and ~3.55 refined) doesn't really seem common, but that would leave a flat range of 2.4 keys (2 keys and ~3 refined), while I dislike flat prices, that's what I see as best fit for the common price Festive Scatterguns are most likely to sell at (not what sellers are most likely to ask for).