Suggestion: Non-Craftable Deadliest Duckling at 1.5–2 keys

Price Suggestion

~1.3 keys

188 votes up

38 votes down

Related Suggestions

This suggestion was accepted Sat, 22 Mar 14 11:54:38 +0000 by Puddilicious.

Comments can no longer be left on this suggestion.

Comments

Counter Suggestion

There are only few sellers and buyers on the market. There are only 4 clean trades on outpost and none of them has many views though. I agree that it should go down but there's only one seller on outpost for 1.5 keys, so I suggest to keep 2 in the range.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18415871 - 2 keys 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18008449 - bp price 4 weeks

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18489009 - 2 keys 1 week

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18606440 - 1.5 keys (same seller as in classifieds), 2 days

(proof is copy-pasted from the other suggestion by the way: http://backpack.tf/vote/id/53283af44cd7b81c0b8b456b )

There is also one buyer:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17698507 (buys for 1 key, 3 ref and has bought at least 2 quicksell ducks)

Only a few on the market, hard to sell for 2 keys, only one seller for 1.5 keys and one quicksell buyer for a bit less than 1.5 keys.

(first suggestion by the way, criticism desired)

For an item with such little demand, a couple days is insufficient to call it unsold..

You're right, that's why I think 2 keys should still be in the range

Ah. Someone did create a counter offer. Still not sure if one seller should really count as a low end, but whatever.

Said everybody on every collector's weapon suggestion ever.

Proof is fine.

Provide proof of sales at 2 keys and I'll close my suggestion.

Why all the negs, he does have a valid point.

If there's no sales at 2 keys, then Ramses's suggestion is right.

To be honest, I also think that one seller shouldn't represent the market but that is just my opinion and I see your legitimate point. (Not sure why people would neg you.)

Here's some really poor and ancient 2 key solds:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18414868 - 1 week ago

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16986240 - 1 month ago

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18092912 - You could also imagine that this could have sold for 2 keys. Using logic, since all these prices are of backpack.tf prices including the exact backpack.tf prices for paint (which not many people follow), the Duckling would have been priced at 2 keys.

Sold to: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18415871 - But this shows that it could have been sold for less explaining the reselling for 2 keys. Dunno. Maybe you can ask them.

This range takes this: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18008449 into account thus supporting the range instead of just one link indicating the market.

Make what you want of this, maybe the solds are wrong but those are my 2 key sales and what I think of this suggestion. Have a nice day~

Yeah, you're right about that it could have been sold for less because of the reselling for 2 keys.

Same goes for those two other sales, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18489009 sells for 2 keys now and http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18008449 too... So I assume they both got it for cheaper or for item(s)

I guess you have a point for the other two sales. I'll look into the backpack history to give a clearer idea about the two suggestions. :)

EDIT:

For Biohazard's trade:

BEFORE - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086794229?time=1394265600

AFTER - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198086794229?time=1394352000

Notable Changes: +6 Refined Metal, -3 New (at the time) Hats (1.5 keys+ at the time?), - Strange Part: Killstreaks Ended (0.66 ref), - Strange Festive Amassador (6 keys), - Australium Gold Paint (3.33), + Strange Jag (3.33), + Strange Loose Cannon (2.6 keys), + Uncraftable Deadliest Duckling (x)

Equation here: 6 ref - 1.5 keys - 0.66 ref - 6 keys - 3.33 ref + 3.33 ref + 2.6 keys + x = 5.33 ref - 4.9 keys + x

Therefore Uncraftable Deadliest Duckling = 4.1 - 4.2 keys (obvious outlier is obvious)

For Strife's trade: (Strife's backpack is too much for me (42k ref bp) so I decided to look at PORBOY's backpack instead (4k ref bp).)

BEFORE - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081943134?time=1387180800

AFTER - http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081943134?time=1387353600

You can look through this yourself if you want. Too many changes. D:

I guess I am neutral now...

the second link sold at 2 keys, it's no longer in ☁TTT☁ Strife's backpack: http://www.tf2outpost.com/backpack/76561197972383519

Buyer is unknown, noone posted on his trade during the last week

2nd link sold at 2 keys... to me XD

Okay, thanks, I'm closing mine!