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Let's try a new suggestion. Please don't shout at me since this is my second REAL Unusual suggestion. Instead I could really need some Feedback.
Unusual Disco Beat Down Hive Minder
11 exist, 7 (+1 Trade, but it's not in Owners Bp) are on the market.
---Solds---
Overpay applied:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18102839 ??? Seems like it Sold for 1 Bud. (Clearly an Outlier, I will not use it in the Range)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18351327 Too find out how he got this took me ages. So let me explain: Hive Minder DBD + Bubbling Backbiter's Billycock (~ 14 Keys) sold for 2 Buds pure and a Strange Festive Stickybomblauncher (~ 20 Keys). But I'm still not sure, if it got sold like that...
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063127829?time=1393401600 Befor the Trade
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198063127829?time=1393488000 After the Trade
3 Buds - 14 Keys = 2.25 buds (Outlier, I will not use it in the Range)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18565819 This one took me long as well, cause there was no open/closed Trade for it. He bought it for an australium Flamethrower and Axtinguisher. http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198058785126?time=1393920000 This is the Trade Owner's Bp one Day befor he bought it. I looked through all Item Histroys and only the Australium Flamethrower and Axtinguisher went to this Guy: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198066939996
I will use the Prices of the 4. March.
About 1.8 Buds + about 1 Bud =
~ 2.8 Buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18108960 (The Trade Owner now has the same Hat again, but it's not duped) Sold for Green Black Hole Unusual Bonk Helm.
~ 4.05 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17959694 Sold for Miami Nights Hotrod + 10 Keys. On the Trade he says he wants more Keys, but i couldn't find out how much more. I will not applie Overpay, but as soon as they will respond to me I will add extra Proof and if it would change Range I will close and reopen this suggestion.
~ 4.3 Buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18618129 Sold for Demonflame Hottie's Hoodie + 5 Keys. This has no Price so I won't use it.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18544105 Sold for Spellbound Birdcage and some Sweets. This Hat has no Price, so I won't use it.
---Sellers---
I know they don't count as Proof...
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17591680 Wants 3 Buds, but Duped, 1 Month old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18583430 Wants 3.5 Buds, very very young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18653231 Wants 3.5 Buds, very very young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18219313 Wants 4 Buds, 3 Weeks old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18579544 Wants 5 Buds, very very young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18565819 Wants 5 Buds, very very young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18351327 Wants 5.5 Buds (and has c/o of 3 Buds pure), 3 Weeks old
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18544105 It's not in his Backpack
To summ it all up: I set the Range at 2.8 - 4.3 Buds. I know, that there are 2 people (duped doesn't count) where the b/o is somewhere in the middle, but these Trades are very very young.
Feedback and Counter-Proof is always appreciated. Thx
your high end seems too high judging by the current buyouts/offers and the range is massive.
I know, but this Hat sells really often and many buyouts/trades are very young.
Sold DBD Hive + 35 Keys for a Cloudy 9 Tavish Crown (Worth 6.2 Buds)
Before: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081823980?time=1395126000
After: http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198081823980?time=1395212400
PM'd Headshrinker about his DBD Hive Minder and he sold his for a Cloud 9 Tavish Crown, at the expense of him adding another 35 Keys.
Aquawaffles then bought a Bud for 20 Keys and has the other 15 Keys left in his BP; as shown on the "AFTER" bp worth.
The current range seems fine I guess. If counting the DBD HM for 3.6 + 1.8 = 5.4 which is a little less than the 6.2 Buds current price for the C9 Tavish.
Upvote
(Yes I do own one, and yes it piqued my interest when I saw that this hat is being priced; I wanted to contribute. Dont hurt me)
Thx for the extra Proof, isn't, if u take away 35 Keys, this exactly the High end of my Suggestion? This is a little wierd considering that it got sold for only 2.2 and 2.8? This Hat is a Mystery to me...
The c9 crown has an 8 months old price. That's way to old to use. There are multiple b/os at 5 for it, so it's unlikely higher than that. That puts your sale, conservatively, at ~3.
Green Black Hole bonk helm has a 9 months old price. It also didn't sell for that - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18565819 - he still has it
The hotrod has a 7 months old price.
Not enough here for your high end.