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(Resuggestion with the price in keys not buds)
It seems like I have the majority of outpost to support this drop. Two month old sales to give a range of 1-1.2 buds and a recent quicksale that I'm including in the range since it decreased that low end by all of 2 keys.
Sale Price: 1 bud (more accurately, 21 keys)
Searing Knot (~16 keys after overpay, 3 month old price but was current at time of sale) and a Sack Fulla Smissmas (5 keys at time of sale so ~4.5) putting the sale at 20.5 keys but since that looks horrible and the sack has fallen in price since then I'll just call this sale a bud.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17707246
Sale Price: 24 keys
Sold for a Stormy Storm Heavy Duty Rag (~17) and 2 S.Invis Watches (3-3.5 keys at time of sale so they'd be adding ~5.8 keys) for a total sale of ~22.8 though with the rise of the watches since the sale I don't think adding an extra 1.2 keys to bring it up to 1.2 buds is unreasonable.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17378301
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17401498
Bought in a quicksale trade for 18 keys though with the proof from the above two sales I'm going to include this in the range, only a few keys off anyways.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18596457
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18493954 (closed after 31 hours)
Now that I have some sales, have basically every B/O currently on outpost.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18264073 - 25 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18640086 - 22 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17759872 - 1.4 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18640354 - 18 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18632212 - 1 bud
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16900119 - 1 bud
As you can see, 4/6 current B/Os support my range with a 5th being only slightly above. and the 6th being above the current range.
Proof is fine
However - not so sure about the range
- 18 Keys for the low end seems like an outlier