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Bought mine for 14 keys pure as a quicksell. Sold it for a SF specialized sticky + SF force + 1 key (20 keys with overpay)
Could bump it down more if I wanted to, but for now 20 to 24 seems to be fair
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18526151 unsold at 1.4 buds for 6 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18513480 unsold at 1.2 buds for 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18601816 unsold at 1.5 for 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18429059 unsold at 1.5 for 3 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18539276 appears to have sold for 16 as a quicksell without being bumped
Festive sticky alone is 20 keys, for overpay on items its usually the lowrange of the items and the first link guy is inactive so that doesn't really count. Also this is a pretty common item so sales can help with your suggestion
Also one for sale in classifieds right now for 21 keys.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18537507 - sold for logo SnS (1.2-1.5, 5 month old price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18102085 - sold for 22 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18459131 - sold for miami geezer (1.7-1.9)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18074929 - appears to have sold for stormy chapeau (2-2.3, 4 month old price)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18743004 - new trade, BO 1.4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18781744 - new trade, BO 1 bud + 3 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18539276 - was selling for 16, unknown sale price though
Some high sales for unusuals, and some sales around the suggested range. Could use a drop, some current BOs are well under the old price.