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Needs a update.
New price: 2.3-2.8
[proof below]
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17109101 - Sold for a DBD VRH = 2.3 buds.
http://puu.sh/7AC54.png - 1 bud + 35 keys (~1.8) = 2.8 buds.
Credits to Vince for the 2.8 bud sale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18474882 - 3bud 5key offer.
outlier, imo. That guy was overpaying alot for the Scorching and Burning version http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18619338
Probably a collector?
+1 proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16464313 Sold for Scorching Flames Mining Light + 6 keys ~2.6 buds
How did you got 2.3?
(1.9+3)/2*0.9=2.205
1.9+3=4.9
4.9/2=2.45 (=2.5, rounded up)
2.5x0.9 = 2.25 (=2.3, rounded up)
Your 2.3 sale had an offer of 55 keys.
Low end is probably low here. I think 2.6-3.3 would be better