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If it was sold for 2.7 why did you put the high end as 2.4 ?
you're not supposed to do that.
if you're taking the middle number, why are you suggesting a range instead of a flat 2.3 :|
first 3 links are all outdated. sales must be less than 2 months old to be valid.
http://backpack.tf/item/1018097899
4th one looks to have sold for this and http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198046356885?time=1392624000 if you sort that by time, the 5 keys preceding the HWAH are from lootz, so that and 5 keys, which would be ~1.5 (?) altogether.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18460961 - b/o 2
This is probably high when the only one on the market is going for 2.
Still hasn't sold for 2 after 2 weeks.
The sale at 2.7 was not 2.7 in pure. Hard to quantify that since it seems to have involved a low craft number
After overpay:
Barnstormer ~1.3
Dragonborn has a 1 year old price
Topi has a 7 months old price, Toque has a 2 year old price
Just not enough here, I'm afraid