Suggestion: Stormy Storm Killer's Kabuto at 48.75–52.65 keys

Price Suggestion

~47 keys

stormy

98 votes up

49 votes down

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This suggestion was closed Sat, 22 Mar 14 15:25:19 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

first suggestion, please be constructive. yes I have one. 9 month old price. etc.

http://i.imgur.com/joYTmzq.png http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18581585

Blizz Exec for Kabuto + ~1.9 Pure

overpay calculated on blizz: 5.5 x .9 = 4.95

4.95 - 1.9 = 3.05 (outlier?)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18645461 http://imgur.com/a/1TfY5

sold for 1 Bud, 23 Keys, and ~7+ in items = ~2.5

http://i.imgur.com/i4pkPyS.png (I'll get his screenshot later) http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17758278 (a little old)

sold for 2.3 pure + 3 keys in items = ~2.5

Notable offers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18133582 clean summer hat - 2.5-3 (first offer)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18504709 2.4 pure and 2.5 pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16480665 C9 Bonk Helm ~2.9, 2.6 with overpay, but old price so meh

Most B/Os around 2.7-3 pure

I will try to get more proof if/when I get it later :).

feedback is welcome. This is my first suggestion.

Sales, trades, and offer seem to fit this range. I would like help with finding an optimal range. I might re-suggest with a better price.

Hmm, you got yours for a very low price...

[url]http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18082727[/url]

A (crazy?) guy offered the Stormy Kabuto + Blizz Connoisseur's Cap + OP Belgian Detective for your Stormy Antlers...

That means 2.45*0.9 + outdated Unu at 1*0.9 + unpriced Unu for a 3.15 buds Unu...

Meaning you got the OP Belgian Detective for free (gratz)

I know that's not a valid proof (oudated and unpriced Unus) and seems to be an outlier so far, so stayin neutral for now...

Belgian and Antlers were unpriced at the time, and I was trying to sell for ~4.5 (what I bought it for, but then again with an unpriced hat so fck if I know the value)

So I was thinking 2.5 +1 +~1 (w/o overpay) = 4.5

Although in hindsight the Belgian sold for 2, but Im not complaining.

Theres the justification for my trade, but I sure am glad I traded before Antlers got priced on bp.tf, cause that sank the possible selling price like a rock.

Sales and offers in the current range. Don't see why it needs to increase.

well going by blind polar bear's guide:

"Set the low end no lower than commonly offered / traded values of a hat"

That commonly traded value seems to be 2.5, 2.3 is below what is selling today

"Set the high end no higher than common b/o's and bounded by the high end sales and offers."

Again this value is higher today then 9 months ago. Esp. with first trade above 2.6

9 months old price

2.5-3 will be also not bad

UP+

~~Such price manip wow, such profit~~

Upboat

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18191666 - <1, outlier

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18113103 - ~2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18693379 - ~2

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18581585 - ~3 (added 2 for blizz ex)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18548925 - added 11 keys for vivid mancer (old price)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18640091 - 2 pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17822884 - 2.1 pure

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18574284 - ~2 - sf rl?

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18223191 - ~2.3ish? - GF softcap + planets front runner

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18074389 - 2.3 pure

3 sales isn't enough data for this kind of hat. I stopped looking for more sales, but there are about 4-5 more valid sales that i never even got to.

Sales at <1, 2, 2, 2, 2, 2.1, 2.3, 2.3, 2.5, 2.5, 3

A range of 2.5-2.7 based on these sales is not appropriate. This might be 2-2.5 counting the low and high sales as outliers.