offered on this hat several times, got another one, but 16-17 keys is unrealistic

3 on OP, none on Bazaar

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18642299 sold, b/o 1bud, has 2 new unusuals in BP, but none of the former owners has the drill

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18646218 sold, b/o 1bud, sold (in front of my nose) for aces high belgian detective; not only no price, not existent on BP.tf

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16864105 20keys offered, 23 retracted

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18673342 selling 23keys

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18559933 selling/offers

item stats shows a price of 1-1.1, still the price is 16-17keys (buds were 16 back then)

tell me if there`s an error in reasoning or not enough proof, i close