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Just sold one for 1 bud + 5 keys + a little over 3 keys in sweets. Maybe I let it go cheap, but I picked it up from the market for less, so I'm fine with it.
Not sure if it qualifies, as I don't have a second sale to compare it to, but here's my proof:
http://i.imgur.com/XRb9TcT.png
http://i.imgur.com/X8MBY4E.png
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18727362#latest
Need two to set. Sorry.
Two sales are required to establish a range on all new hats / hats with new effects. If the two sales are discrepant, a third sale is required to determine the outlier. New effects include – 2013 summer, robo, and Halloween effects. For help on identifying outliers and discrepant sales, please refer to the complete guide or ask for help in the forums.
http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet/