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This is another try of making a price suggestion of this hat
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17910398
Sold for a Timeless Topper Arcana (Look at bottom)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/user/284741
If you scroll down to 5 days ago, you will see that he now owns the Timeless topper and not the Whirly Warrior
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18009030
Trying to quicksell for 2 pure, didnt get any responses
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17173520
Asking to keep offers above 4 buds
If you click on the time, it will show that he put up the trade on Jan 21st, 2014 7:16pm. http://backpack.tf/id/76561197995977920?time=1390291200 And if you try to look for his unusual, it wont show, if you switch between the days, it still wont show, that means it was sold, before 22th.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17349443
Trying to get 5 buds outta this... Hide?
http://backpack.tf/item/2245131685
Very clean, i once owned this hat, i uncrated it, actually.
I sold it to SuperSoldier for Green Black Hole Berliners Helm + Sweets. I still dont know why i did it. I uncrated it on January 3rd,
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198110771120?time=1388736000
Sold it on January 7th.
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198059439540?time=1389081600
Which i basically sold it to him for 2.55 buds + .55 buds sweets.
http://bazaar.tf/trade/621798
no offers in a month...? Clearly not a very demanded hat.
Another one is locked up in this collectors backpack.
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198014399182
Sold the Conno Cap Sulph
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198056831007?time=1388390400
For
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198056831007?time=1388649600
Aces High Whirly
Sold for
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198056831007?time=1391932800
Green Black Hole Medic Gonzilla hat thing
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198051827778?time=1388476800
Stormy 13th hour Jeepcap
For
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198051827778?time=1388563200
Aces Whirly
1:1
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198031526254?time=1388304000
Obtains Aces Whirly
http://backpack.tf/id/76561198031526254?time=1388563200
Obtains Stormy 13th Hour Jeepcap
I am too lazy to go even further into that hat's history, but i think this is enough
Uhh, mind telling us where did 3.6 and 4.2 buds come from?
well from all of the given proof. the high end of the range is made by what people are asking for on tf2outpost (actually lower than that because people on outpost are unreasonable) and the low range takes into consideration hats that have been sold or 1:1.
Ranges are determined by sales..not by what they want
So sales would be:
(1) Jeepcap ~3.4 after overpay
(2) Berliners is ~2.5
Not sure on the conn cap trade as the link isn't working
Arcana topper was duped
Other sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18754381 - aces bucket + bubbling stahl + blizz robo baker ~3.5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18736816 - added a buds for a spellbound robin
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18665200 - aces raincatcher + stormy dogger
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18489500 - added 8 keys for dp heer's
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18324091 - steaming robo modest? 3?
Sales at 2.5, 3, 3.4, 3.5? I'd be fine calling the 2.5 an outlier in the context of the other sales, but I'm just not seeing enough for your high end. Can you provide a link to the trade for the sale involving the sulph conn cap?
The sales of this hat seem to be around 3-3.5 buds. It doesn't matter what people on outpost are asking for, there is no proof for the suggested 4.2 high end, as nobody has managed to sell it for that much yet. Also, http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18759119 - "quickselling" for 3 buds, not taken for a week. I definitely think your suggested price is too high.