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Resubmitting with a price range.
As someone who tried to sell one of these before, people are very reluctant to pay 2 buds for this and it needs a drop.
Solds at 2 buds :
http://i.imgur.com/nNu7gob.png
http://imgur.com/dZdQLyg
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18414792
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18568501
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18624508
First, look at the classified listings here http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/52c89b6d4cd7b8b51d8b456b
Unsold at 30 keys for 6 days
Unsold at 35 for 4 days
Unsold at 35 for a day
Unsold at 2 buds for 2 weeks
Unsold at 36 keys for 3 days
Killstreak one unsold at 2 buds 4 keys for a week:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18407696
Unsolds at 2 buds:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18597135 - 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18296839 - 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18531338 - 6 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18588772 - 3 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18568501 - 4 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18371040 - 2 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18622368 - 2 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17926562 - 1 month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18129602 - 3 weeks
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18564191 - 4 days
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18540330 - 5 days
Unsold at 36 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18399913 - 1 week
Unsold at 35 keys :
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18488201 - 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18504427 - 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18385155 - 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18428823 - 1 week
So yes, this weapon needs an obvious drop. Selling at 2 buds is virtually impossible, and selling at 35 keys is difficult.. The one listed on the classifieds hasn't sold in 6 days, and it is only 30 keys.
If there are errors in my post let me know, there shouldn't be any duplicate links.
Happy trading!
Classified proof: Aside from one quicksell at 35 keys, which is 1.8, everything else is listed at 2 buds.
The only time I saw lower than 2 buds was when the suggestion to reset the value of the aussie sticky to 35 keys, flat, was active.
That was market pessimism, due to what people thought was an impending change in value.
Now that the suggestion was removed, the listed prices reflect actual range.
I'm sure that if this suggestion sticks around for a while you'll see some dropped prices, but those are outliers, for people that may have gotten drops and want to sell their stickies before their fears of price dropping are actualized, even though the going rate is 2 buds, and people aren't really selling for less.
Things to consider about your outpost proof.
1. Unsolds, first link is actually 38 keys, 1 key shy of 2 buds, of your unsolds at 35, you have 2 still active, which undoubtely will be bought soon. 1 week to collect, is not asking for much time. I still consider these 2 listings to be outliers, much less the SINGLE listing for 1 key less than 2 buds. Also several have not been bumped.
2. killstreaks are hard to value, on australiums, I don't buy any killstreak unless it's pro, since upgrading to pro, is the final step on australiums, so that proof doesn't really mean anything, as no one is going to pay an additional 4 keys for a plain killstreak on an aussie, when they can get a non killstreak for 2 flat.
3. If you have ever tried selling an unusual worth 2 buds, it takes a while. this isn't a 1.33 ref craft hat. These unsold links don't really mean too much, considering how many aussie stickies there are. The fact that prices are not dropping just shows that people are fine waiting for someone to buy them, and don't mind holding on to them, or using them, until they do.
You should give these trades more time as if they were unusuals worth 2 buds, and see if those quicksells at 35 become MORE common or less common.
Just some things to consider, since this is your first suggestion.
Full disclosure: I just traded a 2.5 unusual(expired price, and now has more than double the amount dropped from when price was set), new effect that probably will drop a bit for one of these, after the last suggestion got closed, so I do have one in inventory, and may be slightly bias, at this time, however, my reasoning above explains in detail, my conclusion.
Though, to be fair, a fluctuation of my backpack by 2.5 keys, doesn't really bother me. People driving aussie prices down does, considerably more. But I am in the Aussies over Festive Stranges camp, as I prefer them, to seasonally relevant weapons.
Note, another quicksell has appeared, due to this price suggestion.
If you keep suggesting price drops, obviously you will drive down the price temporarily.
This is probably the largest problem I have with publicly displayed price suggestions. Right or wrong.
Isn't 1.7 buds = 34 keys?
would 35 keys round up to 1.8 buds?
Your math isn't off(apparently just unpopular enough to warrant dislikes), it's 1.795 buds.
classifieds only have one seller at 35, the rest at 2 buds pretty much. Also the first and last 35 key links in outpost trades have been sold and some of the others have not been bumped in a while
Hmmm. Perhaps 1.8-2 would have been better. But this is a closer approximation. Easily available for less than 2 on the market
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18385155
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18887946
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18828186