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*Re-suggesting for a better range*
Might be time to give this a small update - 6 month old price:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17967236 - Buyout 4 Buds pure - 1 month old.
This hat is also duped
Notable offers in the last 3 weeks of:
Sunbeams Private eye (4-4.3 buds)
PE Trophy Belt (3.8-4.5 buds)
Ghost Tree plus 10 keys (~4.2 buds)
3.5 pure
4 pure (offer didnt go through though)
Bubbling KE + 1 buds (4.2)
Plasma Tyrants (4.8)
KAW l'homme + 5 keys (4-4.7 + 0.25 = ~4.6)
Highest offers are around 4.5-4.8 before overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18775656 - Was "quickselling" for 4 buds. Sold for a Purple Energy Dragonborn (4.6-5.1 buds, outdated), check mini suggestion below, roughly 4.6 buds now.
When overpay is calculated (4.6*0.9) = 4.15 buds - May be an outlier
Comment from Blind Polar Bear: " http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18775656 - the sale for the PE dragonborn is a bit iffy here. he bought it as a quicksell from a guy banned on outpost and was looking to dump it quickly"
--------------------------------------------------------------
PE Dragonborn Mini suggestion:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18680618 - was offered nutz brotherhood, ~4.5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17716144 - previous owner, b/o was 4.7 buds
= Worth roughly ~4.6 buds
---------------------------------------------------------------
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17178380 - b/o 6 buds for 2 months
Notable offers in the last 3 weeks:
Miami front runner: ~5.5 buds (roughly 5 buds with overpay)
PE trophy: 3.8- 4.5 buds
Thanks to blind polar bear for the extra evidence on the next 2 old trades
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18227786 - GF modest ~4.5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17678568 - vivid tyrants ~4.5 buds
Summary:
1 trade has a buyout of 4 buds, although this hat is duped, he has recieved offers well exceeding that, but he has not taken it, maybe because he doesn't want to resell.
The next trade was quicksold for a PE Dragonborn of which its value is still uncertain. May be an outlier
The third trade had some good offers, with the max being an offer of around 5 buds after overpay.
The 4th link sold for a GF Modest, valuedaround 4.5 buds
The 5th link sold for a Vivid Plasma tyrants, valued around 4.5 buds
Conclusion:
Drop the price to 4.5 buds (2 sales plus many offers) - 5 buds (highest offer)
Comments suggestions and feedback are always welcome. :D
p.s. Thanks again to blind polar bear i always appreciate the feedback :)