11 in existence, 4 on the market.

Overpay applied (midrange*0.9)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18032869 - sold for 26 pure keys ~1.3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18019964 - sold for dead presidents hotrod ~1.4

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17882277 - sold +5 keys for a tf logo tungsten toque according to http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17394449, toque is unpriced.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17961340 - sold for a bubbling casemaker. (unpriced.)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2362226279,251,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2371632839,30119,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17908940

sold with a p.e. berliners (3.1-3.4, 12 months outdated) for a bubbling tc (3.6-3.8). looks sort of outlier-y and that berliner's really is outdated, the range overlaps with the more recently updated burning berliner's. not a helpful sale, but included here for completeness sake. might do the berliner's next if this passes.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2353071223,251,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2328849308,303,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2362226135,378,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17578707

bought it for a bud from the unboxer (quicksell/outlier)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2316022855,251,5

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2304354624,143,6

sold it to reflex, not sure how much, and backpack histories are broken, frustratingly. no item histories seem to correspond with this trade either. no response to my friend request seeking info.

So yeah, essentially there are 2 valid sales are at 1.3 and 1.4, the other sales aren't fantastically helpful but don't seem to obviously contradict the range I'm suggesting, and there are literally 0 offers posted for this hat on any current outpost trade.

Of the 4 on the market currently, I've used 2 in this suggestion, 1 more is still with the unboxer judging from the history, and the other hasn't been traded for over 2 months.

Thanks for reading, vote based on the proof presented and feel free to let me know if you've got any info I've missed.