Suggestion: Disco Beat Down Big Elfin Deal at 54.6–62.4 keys

Price Suggestion

~14 keys

dbd

66 votes up

7 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Tue, 01 Apr 14 14:55:34 +0000 by polar.

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Comments

Old price: 3.4 – 4.3 buds

Solds:

1) For Ghosts Prussian Pickelhaube 1:1 http://i.imgur.com/lzW7KyO.jpg - 2.8 buds

2) For smoking Towering Pillar of Hats + orb. Fire Tavish degroot http://i.imgur.com/6rb6kPb.jpg http://i.imgur.com/0xFomm0.jpg http://i.imgur.com/gvJY6uv.jpg 3.2 buds

Unsolds (quicksellers):

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18589725 for Max Head and 10 keys, Mar 15th (~2 weeks)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18513632 for 3 buds, Mar 11th (~2 weeks)

Unsolds (normal):

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18737503 - 4 buds (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17738129 - 3.9 buds (1 month)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18731549 - 3 buds pure or 4 in unusuals (1 week)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18724271 - 3,5 buds (1 week)

So I guess 2.8 – 3.2 will be more correct.

Overpay needs to be calculated (midprice x 0.9):

1st sold would be 2.5

2nd sold would be invalid since: http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet/

"Hats with an outdated price (>3 months old) are not valid proof."

2.5-3 might be better, since you got 2 B/O's at 3 ^^

Probably, I just tried to base the ends of the price range on the solds, not on the b/o. I have posted the qs b/o just to show that this price isn`t work now at all.

I do not see the reason to calculate overpaying in unusuals, because it is the only usual of the outpost sellers. Sometimes unusuals are going 1:1 because sellers were interested in hats that they got as an offer. And if the hat according bp tf worth 3 buds, so it must be considered as a 3 buds. We can use outpost links as a proofs, but it doesn`t mean that we must project the logic of the outpost trading to the bp tf price suggestions.

Unless it is offered on (as in, the Tyrolean was clearly and evidently offered on the Pickel), then you need to calculate overpay. Its a rule xD

http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6033-new-unusual-price-suggestion-guide-the-cheat-sheet/

"All OFFERED hats and items should be taken at 90% of their original average price."

well in that case the price suggestion will be a very hard process.

if we cannot consider the value of hats, which has a price that was updated over than 3 month old, we should consider like only trades with pure (that happens much seldom, than trade unusual : unusual). And while we will not be able suggest the new prices on hats in this case, we will have more and more "invalid prices" and that will make the process of price suggestion almost impossible^^ dat is ridiculous I think.

Well, if this price range is a huge mistake - let the moderators close this suggestion. I do not see anything wrong in a few keys difference with "ideal" price.

It's not a huge mistake. It's probably close and a bit generous. But NecroTed is correct - we prefer to avoid pricing based on hats with prices that are >3 months old as they just aren't reliable. This doesn't mean they aren't useful. Your sales here give us a general sense that the overall suggestion is about right.