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Proof below. Overpay calculated. Original prices used
Sales
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974886757?time=1388304000 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561197974886757?time=1388390400
Orb Fire Modest + 3 buds + 4 keys = 5.9 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2206053786,30038,5 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2211031489,223,5
Beams Fez = 6.3 buds
"Sales older than 2 months old are not valid proof; this does not mean that they are not useful - please see full guide for how to use older sales in the context of new sales. The one exception to point out here is for very rare hats. If there have only been 1-2 sales in the last 3 months, a trade up to 3 months old is okay to use as proof to establish more data points."
So yeah, don't tell me the proof is too old ;)
Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3