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Four exist. One is currently on Outpost.
Solds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18503613 - B/O 1 bud, sold for 17 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18795659 - Black B.M.O.C. + 4 keys (15 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18019619 - 12 keys (Quicksold within hours.)
Unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19012614 (Young) - B/O 5 buds (?), C/O 13 keys.
12 and 13 key offers are outliers relative to other sales.
Where does 14 keys come from? And there's no proof the 2nd one sold for that. It's a B/O, so you'd have to either show item or backpack history proof.
Sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18838738 to
Sold http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18898700 for 24 keys http://gyazo.com/9f5636478c5a3535b93dac0bf4284345 to
the unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19052003 - BO 1 bud
In regard to your second link, a BMOC was traded: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2470100921,666,6 but I don't know how you know that 4 keys were added. Backpack history shows more than 4 keys
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075943420?time=1395817200 - before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198075943420?time=1395990000 - after
I don't know where the 14 key low end comes from, since the BMOC sale (if it is accurate) is slightly more than that. The 24 key sale that is mentioned by Awezomenezz may be an outlier, considering the BO of only 1 bud currently on the market. Maybe you can add the person who sold for BMOC and ask how many keys was actually exchanged.