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The hat and effect work so well with each other, you would think this would sell more often, but there is so little proof...
Another suggestion where I get bored and price another unusual.
Solds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18237027 Australium Wrench (1.5 - 2 buds then, 1.4-1.5 buds now) + Collectors Bazaar Bargain (13-15 keys then, 7 keys now) = 2.15-2.75 buds then, 1.75-1.85 buds now (average of two price ranges is: 2.1 buds)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18730043 & http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18730932 (simmar's trades) with http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18714623 & http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18730823 (Berry Punch's trades) Items received by simmar worth 3.2 buds together, item given is 14 keys (.7 buds). That makes the Pardner worth 2.5 buds. There could've been sweets involved.
Sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/201282447 Sellers have B/O's of either 3.5 buds, or about 5 buds
No other proof was to be found. If anyone has proof of buying or selling this hat (images of trade history would be great), I can make a more fitting price in another suggestion, as these trades may be overpays or underpays, and because the range is so big.
Try and make it more organised, show the final estimated price in bold to make it easier to recognise. Also, The first and last sold link are really old. They barely even count.
First link is from a month and a half ago, and you're right about the last link (should say 3 months on the outpost trade). I will remove the last link (it didn't affect my price range at all to begin with). As for the price of this item, I think it could actually be 3 buds or more, but this was the only recent enough proof I found. Whenever I start one of these unusual suggestions, I make sure I get a price up (unless I find only 1 trade of proof), so this suggestion is up mostly due to my stubbornness. I also wanted it up so people who had bought/sold the item would go against me, and bring up more proof, so the item gets a fair price (again, my stubbornness showing).
TBH, I think Orbiting Planets works as a better effect on this hat.
forced Space Dandy theme FTW, y'allAccelerating the speed of the boat.