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Burning Flames Crocleather Slouch
(8 exist, 7 month old price)
So, I unboxed one of these today http://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=246695318 (after 400-500 dry, lol) and tried to do some research on what it might be worth. Turns out there were NONE on Outpost or Classifieds, and only a few exist. Here are some recent sales.
Sale 1: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17715669
This person, Grrrrrrr, unboxed his. He sold his for 8 pure. (See notes). He also claims another has sold for 7.5 (but doesn't specify which/who).
I actually ran into him on TF2-Trader aswell, and asked him over the mic If he unboxed the burning croc he sold (replied with yes, level 100). I then told him I just unboxed one too, and asked what he sold his for. He confirmed for 8 pure. http://puu.sh/7ZcLg/2188c5cd72.jpg
Sale 2: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18558715
Appears to have sold for Green energy Anger (Mid price 5.9*0.9) + 20 keys = 6.31 buds
Sale 3: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17603255
He offered his burning croc on a Ghosts Kabuto here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17619662 6 Month old price on the kabuto at 5.4 buds, however I feel this is an outlier
Sale 4: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17781648
Looking for 8. Appears to have sold it for the Burning Coupe (Mid price 3.4*0.9) + 5 buds = 8.06 buds
Sale 5: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16825838
Duped. Sold for 6 buds + 12 keys = 6.6 buds. (See Mac Mullet's post, and this suggestion http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5303eb134dd7b8b33d8b4568)
Overall, I feel this hat is under priced and the current price does not accurately reflect what it would take to get one in the current market. Before I unboxed mine, there were none on Outpost, which should speak to the rarity/demand for this burning unusual. I am suggesting 6.5 to 8, as opposed to 6.3 for the sake of a better looking/tighter range. The 3 unusuals (kabuto, anger, coupe) all have old/outdated prices so this suggestion was a little difficult to make.
Thanks to Woifi for some of the sales + feedback.
may i ask you do you unbox crate below #25 to get this effect ... and very good proof :)
It seems a bit too conservative
The fact that a duped one sold for 6.6 pretty much makes anything below an outlier
Especially when there are 2 sales at ~8 when 1 is in pure and 1 is mostly pure (5/8 pure)
Also, your 6.3 sale is Green Energy Anger, which has a 5 months old price (outdated) and was originally suggested as 6.8 - 7.5, ~6.5 after overpay
The Kabuto sale is an outlier because it was offered and it's much below anything else
The 6.3 sale is involved with outdated and the price you used is the result of inflated key prices and buds going up and down is incorrect
Your 6.6 sale is for a duped one which should be worth less than clean which makes both 5.4 and 6.3 sales outliers and incorrect
Price should be only for clean (when there are any clean sales or sellers) and therefore 8 flat might be better, or at least not 6.5 as a low end
Then look at the ge angers on outpost. 6 bud b/o, 2 sold for ~5.6 buds recently.
He should still do a mini-suggestion or anything to show it's really around that much
It still seems low, duped one fetched more...
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17781648 - Sold for 5 buds + Burning Coupe (~8 buds), trade was opened ~30 minutes...
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18558715 - Sold for GE Anger + 20 keys (~6.3 buds), trade was opened 6 days, he had an offer of Terror Watt Brainiac, outdated but probably 6 or 6+
I doesn't really matter since it's clearly around 6.5 buds and mini suggestions are only estimates.~
"trade was opened 30min" - he reopened his slouch trade like 10 times. ;)