Scorching Elfin, 10 months old price

This one got me more than once in a way during suggesting..987615 Sales and noone suggested

Recent Solds:

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18978288 Scorching Elfin + KaW Duty Rag unpriced sold for:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2495428680,342,5 Spellbound Tavish's Crown(~4.4)

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18887563 Sold for:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18871223 Whole Set except the Genuine Short Circuit. Includes two outdated Unusuals.

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18689193 Sold for:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2478237605,251,5 Burning Stout Shako (~4.3 old price, see mini-suggestion: ~4.5 * 0.9 ~ 4.1 buds)

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Mini-Suggestion Burning Stout Shako:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17519057 (2 months) B/O: 6 buds, C/O: 4 buds pure, Harvest Panama(~5), Lantern Cowl (~4.3)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18540485 (3 weeks) B/O: 6 buds, C/O: Steaming TC (~4), Miami casemaker(~6.3), DP modest + bud

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18247344 (1 month) B/O: 4 buds 15 keys pure/ 5 buds, notable pure C/O: 76 keys

Range conservatively 4 - 5 buds.

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17630889 Offered on CM Sultan's (~4.6 buds)

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18602472 Offered on Miami Cosa Nostra + 12 keys (~3.5 + 0.6 ~ 4.1 buds)

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18727472 Sold for:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2463671894,319,5 Beams Noir (~3.8 * 0.9 ~ 3.4 buds)

Outlier. Since it seems quite low in comparison to all other sales and also offers.

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18400640 Offered with some sweets on PE Trophy belt (~4.2 - 0.2 sweets(?) ~ 4 buds)

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18590813 Sold for:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2442190243,341,5 PE Tree + sweets(~ 4.3 * 0.9 ~ 3.9, round up with sweets ~ 4 buds)

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18385366 Scorching Elfin +

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2426891108,179,5 P.Fetti Tricorne (~19 keys * 0.9 ~ 17 keys) sold for:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2441033128,652,5 Burning Elfin (~6.3 old price)

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18789800 Scorching Elfin +

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2413010522,391,5 KaW Honcho unpriced sold for:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18803644 Burning Elfin (~6.3 old price) + Bubbling Bicorne(~1.1 * 0.9 ~ 1)

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18479677 Offered on Terror Tree (~ 3.8 buds)

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17661968 (1 month) Sold for c9 crocleather(~4.5) + DP L'inspecteur unpriced

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Additional Proof (B/Os & C/Os):

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18818112 (1 week) B/O: 5 buds pure, C/O: Clean Max Head (~2.9 low), PE Bonk Helm + bud (~3.5), KaW Bubble Pipe

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18951686 (5 days) B/O: none, C/O: Eerie Snaggle

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Tried my best as usual... any kind of further proof / counter proof is always appreciated. Thanks for reading this!