Suggestion: Strange Part: Snipers Killed at 1.3–1.4 keys

Price Suggestion

~1.95 keys

184 votes up

57 votes down

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This suggestion was accepted Tue, 08 Apr 14 22:49:54 +0000 by A Delicious Cashew™.

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Comments

This one is quite tricky to price, please read everything to understand my choice completely

Proof:

Sellers/Sales at 1.3 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19054681

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18998467

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18820414

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19073981

Sales at 1.4 keys:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19070316 - 2 hours

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18859897 - ~1.55, sold at least 1, the 1 on trade sold, stock says 2 has 1 in backpack

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17774384 - ~1.55, has an added comment 5 days ago, the one who wrote that has almost 0 kills in his strange your eternal reward

There's less than a page on outpost (15 trades...)

Around half are trying to sell for 1 key 4 ref or more, some are probably successful but it's not documented so it cannot be used

The other half is people who don't understand it's real value and try to sell it for backpack price, aka 1.3 keys

Most of them are young and if not, have either sold or had offers around that pretty quickly

I'm thinking about 1.4 because there's another B/O of this on Classifieds (1 of them is the one who sold for 1.4) and also because 1 of the ~1.55 probably happened and we can't know for sure

I'm considering this as a conservative bump since finding 1 for 1.3 is possible but will probably be snatched before you manage to get it

Keep in mind that most sellers barely bump their trades and it's a very very small market

Needs more proof

There are 15 trades on outpost with like 5 or more B/O's of ~2 keys, or at least much above 1.4 keys

Find any proof supporting anything and then we'll talk

Links? Don't just say, show it

Your logic is in SERIOUS problems

I try to suggest 1.3 - 1.4 keys, of course 2 keys unsolds would help, NO, just NO

I can link you to the search on outpost so that you can see for yourself there are no trades but you should be able to do it by yourself

Since there are only 15 links I examined every single one

The results are that around half are trying to get more than 1.4 keys, some are probably successful but it's not documented, such as there's no comment saying added, he might've sold but we'll never know if it's recent (talking about mess sellers)

Since you have troubles going to outpost and click on the "Search" button

http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/201457555

I bought one for 1 key a few days ago

You linked to my outpost trade - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18859897

Outpost usually only shows you a tiny fraction of the actual trading activity. I had 3 or 4 recent sales for 1 key + 4 ref.

http://i.imgur.com/4jgiN0o.png - direct sale

http://dispenser.tf/shop_log/1005/?page=2& - some bot sales

I leave most of my stock of these on Steam Market or on dispenser.tf, so you won't see it all in my inventory, which makes it hard to see how many I'm selling, unfortunately.

BTW, many of these older strange parts are actually being sold for much higher than the bp.tf price now (e.g. demomen killed, soldiers killed, etc).

It's supply and demand. The supply entering the market is really small, because people don't often unbox those old crates. Bp.tf stats page shows only about 10-15 being unboxed each week. That tends to make them hard to find and pushes up the price.

Thank you for verifying your sales

Even though my suggested price is excluding your sale (wanted it to be conservative, wasn't sure if you sold...) it helps showing it needs a bump