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6 month old price.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18833163
-2.3 b/o
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19014711
-b/o 3
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18914130
-Offer of 2 buds and 3 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15849528
-Offer of $100 (3, dunno if the offer is legit) and another offer of 50 keys so 2.5
Sales
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18335338 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18425742
-Sold for SS Tyrolean (there's b/o's of 2 in the market.) Probably an outlier.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18310221 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18333728
-Sold for Pro Kritzkrieg (~3, pro kit sells for ~20 keys in scm)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18779506 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18779818
-Sold for Sunbeams Sack (His b/o was 3, and sold for dbd hetmen and there's a b/o of 2.5 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18556549 )
I think this is a fair range, comment below if you have a problem with it.
Feel free to counter / support my proof. Vote based on proof presented, not blindly!
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18414912 - pe bonnet, probably close to 3; willing to do 2.5 pure, though
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18635415 - both for GE pot; looks like it was offered (b/os on the tyro at 1.5 probably put this at 2.7)
A few of these are duped, but it seems on this particular hat, the price on the dupes and clean is about the same.