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Ugly range, I say
Here is my touching story: 2 months ago, I sold 6 of my Ellis Caps for this Vintage hat. At first, I thought I could make big profit with this. Many weeks later, it was still in my inventory and finally, I had to trade it for a Strange Dead Ringer. And after that day, I swore I would decline this thing price to dust!
So here is my suggestion part 2
Unsolds at 2 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18059348
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18121650
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19090026
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17848374
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18747548
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17913455
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19074856
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18369482
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18917896
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19094703
Sellings/ Solds lower than 2 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19090327 (Lowest backpack price = 1.7 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18770855 (Painted, yet 1 keys and 6 ref = 1.85 keys, now move to http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19094935)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19058164 (1 keys 6.33 ref = 1.85 keys)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19028036 (1 keys 3 ref = 1.4 keys)
http://bazaar.tf/trade/672981 (Mid price = 1.85 keys)
http://bazaar.tf/trade/700220 (Low end = 1.7 keys)
Conclusion: Rare hats and there are many painted and special-leveled one but its overall demand ain't that huge. 2-key doesn't sell and sellers even have trouble at lower price. 2-key shouldn't be in the range after all and it only footholds sellers.
Feel free to counter / support my proofs.
Will update more proof as soon as I can
6 Pages on outpost and only 4 links you've provided selling less than 2 keys.
Young/Unbumped 2 keys sellers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19090026
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19074856
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19094703
Young/Unbumped sellers lower than 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19090327
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19058164
EDIT: I'm looking for some more sellers/unsolds to help you out a bit on this.
Unsolds at 2 keys:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19063545 Young
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16062867 4 months
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18682473 2 weeks painted ts Poorly bumped
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18901494 1 week, painted white
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18864661 1 week painted ts
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18843671 1 week
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18990436 4 days painte aussie
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18983813 4 days painted ts
Sellings =/= Solds
That's what I'm trying to proof
If you check trade.tf everyday, you will know that none of that 2-key sales are success
Yet in 6 pages, there are full of painted and special-leveled hats which can't be used as proof.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19058164 (1 day is still young?)
And thx for the help :)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18059348 - sold, check item history
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19063545 - ^
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19056534 - sold for 2 Keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18059348 Sold one, has one still selling one
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19063545 This one is duped, still has in his backpack the duped one is in the others backpack
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19056534 This one did sell,
as for the second link, please check backpacks before you go saying that it's sold.
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18059348 How could you tell that he sold it? He may use it as sweet in unusual trading, yet he still has it for sale
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19063545 Have no idea about this duped stuff, can't explain
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19056534 Painted
That's the thing Giang, he can't tell.
Giang you can check dupes easily without backpak.tf by seeing if it says someone else currently owns it, whilst that item is still in his/her backpack.
I know that, but can duped stuff be used as proof?
Most vintages are duped. I think ALL are duped actually, or at least that's what I'm told. So I'm pretty sure you can use dupes, the Vintage Shortstop is duped and it was used in making its price.
If it sells. I know some people don't mind duped items, while others do.
Gets my upvote! Convincing to me!
Another piece of proof:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17353842 (Selling for 1.85 keys, you can see that I asked him below)