6 month old price.

Sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18598109

-b/o 4, probably sold for that.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18161494

-Sold for Misty Skull Grimm Hate which has sold for 5 pure --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18277740

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18155776 --> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2387034846,30041,5

-Sold for AF Halogen (~4)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17263298

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2326457330,259,5

-Sold for burning capotain (I'm gonna say 3.3, offer of that here: http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17768786 + 2 buds ) so ~5.3

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18737960

-Sold for burning helm (~2.3) + mn beret (Offer of bliz. Storm Party Phantom http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18853063 so ~1.7) so sale is close to 4+.

Given to the amount of broad sales, 4-5 doesn't look so bad.

Feel free to counter / support my proof. Vote based on proof presented, not blindly!