Price Suggestion
~1200 keys
arcana
Unusual Horrific Headsplitter Arcana
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Arcana Headsplitter, 1 of 1

Updating because of new Miami KE Suggestion.

Recent solds:

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17914816 (1 month) Sold for:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2370005417,920,5 Aces Crones (~15.8) +


http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2370005431,538,5 Steaming KE(~3.5 old price, see mini-suggestion)


(~15.8 + ~3.5) * 0.9 ~ 17.3 buds

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Mini-Suggestion Steaming KE:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18689958 (2 weeks) B/O: none, C/O: Miami Noble, Stormy Bomber(~3.8)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17739063 (2 months) B/O: 110 keys, C/O: (2 months) 49 keys + bud + TS bills (~3.8 pure)


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18542691 Steaming KE sold for:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18579003 DP Salty Dog (~2.2 old price) + Smoking MErry(~1.6 old price)


Supports old price.

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18227268 Offered on Miami Crones ~ 13.8 buds


http://backpack.tf/vote/id/534d76844cd7b8540f8b4a42 High-End of previous Suggestion too high.

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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17545575 Sold for:


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17915442 Miami Gibus(~16 * 0.9 ~ 14.4) + BMOC(~0.5) + SF Huntsman (~0.5) + Black paint ~ 15.5 buds

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Additional Proof (BOs & COs):


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18779465 (2 weeks) B/O: 40 buds, C/O: Spellbound Headsplitter + sweets, DP KE, Terror Cone


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Tried my best as usual... any kind of further proof counter proof is always appreciated. Thanks for reading this!

    One comment I want to make here. In an ideal world, we would have dynamically updated prices on all items and unusuals every day so that we could take all sales as they were valued at the time of the sale. Unfortunately, this is impossible. As such, we usually encourage people to use the suggestion as close as possible to the sale to determine the value at the time of the sale. For regular items which get updated regularly, this usually means using the price at the time of the trade. But for unusuals, which rarely get updated, this usually means the current price is more accurate than any price listing at the time of the trade.


    Unfortunately, new effect hats are dynamic with price changes even over the course of weeks. They are really a moving target when it comes to evaluating them in a sale. As such, it's really impossible to figure out what the value was on the miami crones 3 weeks ago when the sale happened. Probably somewhere between 13 and 19, but we just can't tell. Given this, I think it is best to not use the miami crones sale to price this at all.


    I have looked at this suggestion more than my fair share. This to me seems about right now. But I will let another mod take a look for the final decision on this one.

      Yeah seems like the crones is ranging from 15-20 whith low sales and qs down to 10. I think its better not to use it as a high end here..