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Current price is crazy. I mean, for a start:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19120220 B/O of 5 (5 days)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18834397 B/O of 5 (2 weeks)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17705165 B/O of 5 (2 months)
SALES:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18627334 Sold for Disco Beat Down Rimmed Raincatcher (Outdated at 3.8) + Aces High Safe 'n' Sound (2.2)
3.1*0.9 + 2.2*0.9 = 4.77 (rounding to 4.8)
Item histories:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2457392763,627,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2457392718,216,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2457392735,178,5
RAINCATCHER MINI-SUGGESTION:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/202562755 Two B/Os of 3.5 on Outpost
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18580049 Sold for a MAXIMUM of 2.7, Offer of Flies Virus + 3 keys = 2.7
2.7-3.5 is acceptable here, giving a price of 3.1
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19115543 Sold for Aces High Noble Nickel (3.75) + Nuts n Bolts One Man Army (Oudated at 0.6)
3.75*0.9 + 0.6*0.9 = 3.915 (rounding to 3.9)
Item histories:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2505085117,627,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2505085112,601,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2505085113,30006,5
ONE-MAN ARMY MINI-SUGGESTION:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19121148 Sold for 12 keys
Current price is fine, will update later.
I still think this is high, but, it's what the evidence suggests, I guess.
Let's let this ride.
Just want to point out that the sale at 4 was a person who kept opening and closing a trade selling it for 4.5