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My first suggestion, please tell me if I made mistakes or advices
TF2Outpost
Sold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19031501 : 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19169668 : 1 key 5 ref
Unsold
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19232935 : 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19270423 : 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19269588 : 2 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19221039 : 2 keys 4 ref
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19260073 : 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19161252 : 2 keys
Buyers
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18993527 : 1 key
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19056970 : 1 key 1 ref
Bazaar.tf
Sold:
http://bazaar.tf/trade/348817 : 1 key 1.66 ref
Unsolds :
http://bazaar.tf/trade/762542 : 2 keys 4 ref
http://bazaar.tf/trade/763891 : 3 keys (painted)
If your solds are at 2 keys and 1.67 keys then how is 1 key in the range?
http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Strange%20Heat%20of%20Winter i know the market isnt the best proof but its often a good guideline, prices haven't fallen below 4 dollars which is about 1.5 keys -ish
also if you have a buyer at 1 key 1 refined, why is the 1 key still in range if people are willing to pay higher?
I believe you need actual solds for both ends of your price :)
The problem with outpost is that it's nearly impossible to see
What? You need solds to justify a new price.
You need to click on every trade
Maybe change your range to fit the 2 keys and 1 key 5 ref?
Links:
1 looks good
2 looks good
3 trade pretty new, I wouldn't call it unsold
4 not unsold at ALL trade is 1 hour old
5 not unsold trade is 2 hours old
6 little bit fuzzy, only 2 days - not sure if I would call this unsold
7 less than a day old trade plus he has an add (it was after you posted the price suggestion)
8 a few days old - no comments - another fuzzy unsold
9 nothing after a week, makes me think his price is too low
10 same as link #9
OH COOL MORE LINKS
1 mass trade, bad for suggestions
2 fuzzy, only 5 days
3 paint = not good for suggestions, make sure you're listing unpainted price on suggestion (3 keys - 1.25 keys (after eight) = 1.75 keys)
Conclusion - not enough proof, bad links, downvote.
EDIT: do you know what unsold means
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19232935 this is my trade, I sold it and I sold before 2 more. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19036254 and http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19141584 I sold 3 heat of winter for 2 keys. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18993527 This is my quick buying post for 1 key. I think price must around 2 keys. Downvote!
ever ones selling it for 1 key or higher so i think this would be a good price
Not enough solid sales to justify suggested range. In particular, only one sale at 1 key isn't enough to include in range, particularly with quickbuyers at that price indicate it being too low.
Closing for insufficient evidence.