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~54.33 ref
Unique Mann Co. Supply Crate Key
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783 votes down
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Mann Co. Supply Crate Key


http://tf2finance.com/keys/ - 7.49 refined at time of posting


Sales


8


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19300007

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19293188

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19292590

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19285232

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19285131


7.77


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19291571

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19290709

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19290097

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19287144


7.66


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19302174

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19301424

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19301304

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19300125

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19299978

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19299898

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19299847

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19299754

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19297506

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19297137

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19297084

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19295949

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19293327

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19293207

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19292733

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19292109

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19291805

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19291138

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19290513

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19290184

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19289331

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19289137

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19288980

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19288710

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19288410

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19287842

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19287495

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19287451

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19285659

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19284133

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19283905


7.55


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19304492

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19301449

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19301011

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19299639

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19298655

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19298653

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19298026

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19297531

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19297010

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19296962

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19296710

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19296600

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19296216

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19295981

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19295877

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19295548

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19294044

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19293916

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19293799

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19293404

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19293046

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19293021

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19292578

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19290602

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19290530

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19289854

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19288895

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19288353

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19287640

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19286549

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19286444

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19286194

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19285918

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19285633

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19285528

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19285422

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19284118

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19283788


7.44


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19304375

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19304144

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19303439

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19303104

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19302275

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19302197

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19300360

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19299867

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19299501

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19299493

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19296414

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19296294

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19295606

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19295591

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19295379

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19295264

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19295239

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19295116

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19294817

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19294814

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19293917

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19293598

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19293196

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19292359

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19292339

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19291800

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19291384

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19290117

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19289574

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19288483

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19288233

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19287973

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19287968

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19287838

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19287657

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19286284

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19285648

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19285467

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19285001

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19284843

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19284454

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19284348

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19284211

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19283818


7.33


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19303551

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19301545

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19299529

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19298776

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19297708

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19296785

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19296740

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19296024

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19292527

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19292115

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19291794

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19291068

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19290535

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19290496

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19289537

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19288399

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19287441

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19287152

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19286517

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19286148

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19284947

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19284664

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19284332


7.22


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19297236


7.11


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19303779


7


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19302157

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19297997

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19297433

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19291035

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19285099

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19284555

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19284548


1.33


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19285866


All sales are within the last 24 hours


Buyers


7.66


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19097176


7.55


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18872069 bot

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19227238

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18884133

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/16675108

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19305460

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19305917

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19163826

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17369981

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18432130

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19260040

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18410583 bot


7.44


http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18872021 bot

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19265821

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18450729 bot

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18211496

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18897679

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19239652

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19225874

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18013471

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19207742

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19257408

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19225584 bot

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19120177

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19304238

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18724920

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19268314

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18785787

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18819478 bot

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19257702

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18982879

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18900412 bot

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18902591

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19097236

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18706836

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19205858

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19220559

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18783391 bot

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19296193

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19303422

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19177766 bot

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19304489

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19297081

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18244072

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18847443 bot

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19260302

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19286871

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19047204

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18954290

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19137829

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19067783

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17858819

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19177769

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19293843

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18847480 bot

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19283179

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19273727

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19302804

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19049463

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19238356 bot

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17223494 bot

If there are that many sales at 7.66, why not go above 7.55?

    Conservative bump.

      Conservative, as well as most commonly traded prices and all that. Also a lack of buyers (for now) at 7.66

        Ah. Okay, that makes sense.

      I added a guy for a 7.44 key, was competing with 6 other people :P

        so hard to buy for 7.44 now :u (or maybe I'm just unlucky) bought 4keys for 30ref from a guy selling them for 7.55 each (1key <-> 7.49ref each is the final calculation)

          Now I mostly see people sell for 7.66 and above

            personally I've seen a lot of 7.55-7.66, and there was that one guy I saw buying for 8ref :u but

            oh boy here we go again. I just hope this isn't a mess like the last suggestion.


            In my experience I tried buying keys for 7.55 and only successfully got a handful keys in around a week. Even desperately tried buying them on trade server and no luck what so ever.

              Imo shouldnt be conservative at all here, keys are lagging behind quite a bit as it is, 7.55 is pretty rare and many sales at 7.66ref

                Completely agree with ya there.

                Looks like it is time for a bump, and this range fits that, though 7.66 may not be far off...

                  It's not far off, but I'd say we aren't quite there yet

                    Agreed, though this price may not be around for very long.

                      Give it till a new Key Price can be suggested after this is accepted.

                      Surely (fav word remember :) ) if demand is increases (more traders coming in, and supply is increasing (people buying keys from the Mann. Co Store), the equillibrium price stays the same?

                        No, because metal supply is increasing too

                        http://backpack.tf/stats/Unique/Refined%20Metal/Tradable/Craftable

                          metal is free you play you get. You got to pay for keys. Every one can get metal.

                            Refined metal is available to everyone INDIRECTLY. Free to play people receive weapons through in-game drops. Most of them don't craft it all into refined. But more experienced players DO. I agree that more and more refined is coming into the economy but not enough that key prices have steeply risen by 0.55 ref within the last month or so. If it was 0.55 ref every 3-4 months I wouldn't have a problem but it isn't is it...

                              Key prices have never moved at all. Key are always 2.5$ from the store and 1.7-1.8 via paypal and hasnt changed for months. I'ts metal's value which is going down, too much metal chasing fewer keys, more player = more metal go figure.

                        As I stated in my first post, discussions like these are for the forums, not for suggestions. Comments here are solely for the purpose of evaluating the quality of the proof and providing more proof or counter-proof.


                        If you wish to discuss, go here: http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/6090-the-one-and-only-key-price-topic/

                          Loophole, personal experiences with keys. He's okay.

                            Is there a particular reason for providing sales below 7.44?

                              As a key suggestor, you have to provide all sales you find, in order for others to get a better understanding of the market, and to see where the most commonly traded price point is

                              i'll just add some personal experience.

                              http://puu.sh/8fres.png 4 at 7.66 each

                              http://puu.sh/8frfP.png 2 at 7.44 each

                              i bought these at trade servers, the 7.44 came from a person selling for that, 7.66 was me just saying it and getting trades, got less then i actually expected.

                                    http://i.imgur.com/UW1TaOM.png Bought 5 keys for 38.33 ref (7.66 ea.).


                                    I searched on outpost, and after a few refreshes (which for keys always provides a new page of results) there was always multiple, in-stock sellers for 7.66 on every search. Anything lower was consistently sold out.


                                    Just from personal experience, I can say that 7.66 is a bit of an instant-buy price--there are always people available at that price point if you want to buy. On the other hand, anything lower is a quicksell--there is an abundance of sales at 7.44-7.55 but they sell out instantly and there is a lot of buyer competition.


                                    Following that logic, 7.55-7.66 would be the ideal price range (quicksales at one end and instantbuys at the other), but it is clear that in terms of volume (from this suggestion more than the other one) that the .44s and .55s eclipse the .66s.


                                    The most accurate price for keys has always been a wonky one because of this disparity between volume and sell speed. I will say that SUN's suggestion has less convincing proof atm. As with all key suggestions, the mods will leave them up for a bit to allow more community feedback, but the proof is as important as market trends when it comes to currencies--it is better to have a slightly incorrect price that is verifiable than an accurate one pulled out of nowhere.


                                    I encourage both the suggester and the community to provide additional evidence instead of arguing.

                                      I added you to discuss a few things

                                        I put up 5 keys for 7.66 on classifieds today and sold them all within 15 minutes.

                                        http://tf2finance.com/keys/ <- graphs havent been updated since january 23, 2014 so I wouldn't lay in that source. It says keys are still worth 7 refs and USD 1.85. As far as I remember tf2finance is abandoned website which hasnt been updated for months now.


                                        I'm still buying keys at range of 7.00-7.22 each.

                                        Here's my proof:

                                        http://i.imgur.com/X7soWWz.png

                                        http://i.imgur.com/hvc0i25.png

                                        http://i.imgur.com/S6TdVsw.png

                                        I got plenty of similar trades everyday in range of 7.00-7.22

                                          Keys / Keys (KEYREF) •

                                          1 Key = 7.48 Refined

                                          Apr 20, 2014 GMT


                                          Seems updated/accurate to me

                                            That was not the point, if you check the whole website its not updated since many months and tell me how do you know the source they are using to get those stats isnt outdated as valve is developing whole statistic system and resource management all the time?

                                              Huh, I was told by a moderator that this website is to be trusted. Interesting

                                                I'm here to share my personal opinion so if you are against it then you are at the wrong place.

                                                  How exactly am I against it? I never said "a mod told me this, so you must be wrong"


                                                the graph isn't updating, the price still is

                                              You should really show names, you could easily be trading with an alternate account or a friend to make up proof.

                                              Prices not know much about. But I saw that usually sold for 7:33 in trading servers.

                                              Even more than this price.

                                                Am I the only one confused as to why we need proof for sales under 7.44? Below backpack price is always going to sell so why even provide it? it's not like quicksells ever influence price I haven't seen this price go down in months (Sorry if I broke any guidelines, just curious as to how it is relevant.)

                                                  Copy pasted my reply to a similar comment


                                                  As a key suggestor, you have to provide all sales you find, in order for others to get a better understanding of the market, and to see where the most commonly traded price point is

                                                  was able to get one for 7.44 today *wacky arm wave*

                                                      You don't have to capitalize every single word. And you shouldn't complain about key prices rising, that's not the point of this suggestion. You're here to discuss the proof.

                                                          Your 1.33 sale is a 7.33... Misread? or Mistype?

                                                            He false advertised, Jesus didn't check the notes or the poster edited them (I hate people that false advertise, just wastes my damn time).

                                                              A lot of people do that actually, put 1.33ref in notes, wait 3 mins for trade.tf to register and then get every trade.tf camper rushing in to look at the trade. Change notes.

                                                              If anything that would completely crash the economy. Learn that keys are 2.5$ and metal is free, you play you get.


                                                              Nothing is ever the same you dont walk into a petrol station and beg them if you can pay the price of petrol 3 years ago then why would you here?

                                                              I still have no problem buying keys for 7.33-7.44. I have also bought for 7 ref on trade servers.

                                                                Man,it's quite easy to get keys for 7.33-7.44 and I even got a key for 7ref so...

                                                                    After looking through the number of links, I'd say .66 should be within the range, until more links are provided for that and .55 so that it should be 7.55-7.66.

                                                                        Backpack.tf is supposed to have correct prices. If the price increases, it's raised here. It may be bad for trading but that's how it works.

                                                                            But what is point of this site if it doesn't have to be correct? Show people random prices that may be near the correct one?

                                                                              yeah, unusual pricing is generally fairly outdated here, but as it so happens, there aren't unusual keys. the run of the mill stuff is usually kept up to date

                                                                          Upvote. Scrap.tf raised to 7.55/7.66 btw.

                                                                                i can get these easily for 7-7.33 still lol

                                                                                    Your opinion is entirely irrelevant unless you have hard proof to back it up.

                                                                                      Most people are selling keys for 7.66 by now, some outliers here and there and their keys get taken in a matter of seconds but nothing substantial. If these suggestions of 7.44-7.55 get accepted and it probably will be accepted, it won't be much until the price is going to have to be adjusted again.

                                                                                        I think the main concern here is not whether the key:ref ratio is in need of updating but rather whether 7.55 is better than 7.44-7.55. Honestly, the proof is compelling on the other suggestion, but I think it's a close enough call here that it's best to go with the community vote on this one.


                                                                                        Please note that the key cooldown rules remain in effect: http://forums.backpack.tf/index.php?/topic/2620-key-cooldown-guidelines-read-before-making-key-suggestions/