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Solds -
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19372980 - DP Ushanka (2.1) = ~2 - he bought his jarate for http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19370844 (outlier)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2538175039,778,5
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18353098 - another QS.
Previous Festive I made got 2buds (with 1 sale) - http://backpack.tf/stats/Collector%27s/Festive%20Crusader%27s%20Crossbow/Tradable/Craftable
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18353098 wait do we know what this sold for :?
Looks like SF flamethrower + S. Teddy
also the trade was open 1 month. not a quick sell right? (correct me if i overlooked something)
Really? You're going to base the price on a single sale for a 3rd gen Unusual?
Edit: And by my math it wouldn't even take 24 keys to complete one of these so pretty much you're saying the chem set is worth .5-.7 buds....
The time to collect all the Jarate's should also have a value,
Chem set on Market - http://steamcommunity.com/market/listings/440/Collector%27s%20Festive%20Jarate%20Chemistry%20Set
.... so based on previous sales you're saying the time to collect the jarates is worth about 10 keys.... meh i doubt sales in that range will continue if it can be finished for under 2 buds
The main thing with the collector's festive crossbow is that it costs between 1.4 and 1.8 buds to finish it so the time is almost not valued. Compared the 1.15-1.4 buds to finish the collector's festive jarate
Considering he sold it very quickly for above that (last link) I wouldn't really include that in the range.
i agree the last link is a quicksell but using the one sale for a likely hard to sell unusual to set the price seems like bad practice.
It sold for a DP Ushanka... It's the first link.
Please don't try to manipulate because you own one - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18127121 thank you.