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2 year old price, long overdue for an update. The original price was 1.8-2.3 hence the red arrow, in case you were confused.
Sold for 1.5 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19336091
Sold for Disco Beat Down Ol'Snaggletooth (~2 as limited by the Lid B/O)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18140095 (Lid)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19137978 (Snaggle)
Sold for Professional Medi-Gun (~1.5 according to http://www.trade.tf/price/6526/-1/211 )
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19120969 (Medi-Gun)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19167096 (Lid)
Don't think trade.tf price is valid for the Professional Medi Gun. Make a mini suggestion based on actual sales of the gun.
That's precisely what trade.tf is though, tracks what people have been paying for kits and computes a value based on that. The gun alone is only a refined so it's hardly worth accounting for in the price.
I believe that trade.tf uses the common selling value on the market instead of sales. So lets say an item is 1 of 1 on the market and is selling for 15 keys. It will compute as 15 keys.
They do aggregate trades from various sources and list those prices but they have their own price spreadsheet based on automated inventory scanning. http://www.trade.tf/faq#spreadsheet-work
I've used trade.tf in accepted suggestions before with no issue so I can only assume that people do consider it valid for professional items.
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/5341b47a4dd7b8b6268b4738 (1 of my 3 sales are professional)
http://backpack.tf/vote/id/535809074dd7b8db218b4577 (2 of my 4 sales are professional)
Honestly, 2 looks like an outlier. There's current one b/o at 25 keys, one at 27 keys, and multiple at 1.7-1.8. In fact, I don't think anyone is selling for more than 1.8
Two of the three trades I linked had a B/O of 2 listed and they closed at most 3 weeks ago.
The 25 and 27 key seller have both been up for less than a day.
This one sold very recently for an Australium Minigun so ~1.9 http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19389659