Proof below. Overpay calculated. Original prices used

Sales

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19170103

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056714971?time=1397286000 ---> http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198056714971?time=1397372400

1.5 buds-worth

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18815801 - Miami Wet Works = 1.5 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2427323338,107,5 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2444492748,321,5

DBD Dixie = 1.8 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2402363234,107,5 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2403257161,617,5

Blizz Ballcap = 1.7 buds

http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2402363234,107,5 ---> http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2395938715,451,5

Steaming Bonk Boy = 2 buds (outlier)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19034927 - 1.8 B/O (2 weeks)

Help / Constructive Criticism / Additional Proof / Counter-Proof is ALWAYS welcome! >;3