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Jumping on the 2011 Festive train :D
Conversion Table:
2.8 buds x 19.25 keys per bud = ~54 keys
2.6 buds x 19.25 keys per bud = ~50 keys
Sellers:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19412703 49 keys (Point Blank Kills, Soldiers Killed, Medics Killed That Have Full ÜberCharge)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19465126 50 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19442656 50 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19431033 50 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19290522 51 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19446514 51 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19425066 51 keys (Heavies Killed, Dominations, Airborne Enemy Kills)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19418337 52 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19229056 53 keys
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19333906 53 keys (Dominations, Critical Kills, Scouts Killed)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15843236 54 keys (Heavies Killed)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19344933 54 keys (Scouts, Demomen, Medics Killed || Sheen - Team Shine)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19457067 2.8 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19459274 2.8 buds (Dominations)
Not taking 2.8 buds out of range because there may have been sales not seen here that took place, and a moderate shift in price is better than jumping the gun in predicting a market trade and yada yada...blah blah...fin.
Sum extra proof. :)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19467120 - 3 buds outlier
http://tf2tp.com/trade.php?trade=10104535 - 2.6 buds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18811567 - 2.6 buds (old)