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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19358175 - Sold for 3 keys + Wrap
http://puu.sh/8ps22.png
http://puu.sh/8ps6n.png
And for good measure: http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2552356286,357,3 Gifted by me.
Only recent sale I could find. The few trades on OP are old (1 month+) and are asking for 4+ keys with no interest. Basically no other offers or anything to go off of. These things don't sell too often.
Examples:
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19480121 - one I sold, now in a set (brand new trade)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/15916650 - in a set
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/17288653 - no offers on any in over 2 months
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18366676 - no offers in a month
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18240566 - looking for 5 + wrap, nothing in over a month
Granted, none of those trades are autobumped and some have relatively low views.
Let me know what you think.
Seems solid, but only one sale so I'm unsure. Even if it's a rare item
You need more proof to add a new prices/change on bp.tf you can find on bazaar.tf or other tf2shop/tf2 trading
Let me put this into perspective for you, there is a little over 3000 of this item in the game at most 1/100 of these are selling so about 30 sellers AT MOST. Put some into sets and it is unlikely to sell. Therefore 1 page on outpost. This guy has enough proof.