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Proof
http://backpack.tf/classifieds/search/id/52d0c8fb4dd7b8bd0d8b4567
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19475922 4
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19037460 closest thing on outpost to 5 (5 keys 2 ref) unsold 3 weeks
the trades not even a day old yet
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19037460 - This one had an offer of 4 keys but rejected and again offer 4.4 keys andthe 4 key link seems to have sold?
Whether the four key trade is sold or not, I can't tell. Still has the latest ID on him right now, but it's not in his backpack (according to here, but API is down at my time of posting)
Solds
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19271160 - bills (b/o was 5 keys though)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19361290 - 5?
Eh.. Last suggestion was based on 0 sales. This one has 3 sales at 4, 5, 5. I think it's better to have a price based on sales. Plus, the community is strongly behind this.