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http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18800696 - Bought for Burning Dead Cone http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18790439 (4.6 buds) [Offer Value: 4.1 buds]***
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/7972937 - Absolutely no interest for 1 year
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19467005 - Quickselling for 3 buds or Max. Most likely quicksold for 3 buds http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19474806 (Shows only 2/3 buds, but the amount of promos Kenny has/had.
*** http://backpack.tf/vote/id/535e1ab04dd7b84f4c8b48b6
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19030546 they did the 1:1 trade as far as I know :) this might help your suggestion
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19547335 sold for miami flamenco
(4)no overpay since offered = 4.5, bought for cloudy prancers(4.5)not entirely sure about the dead cones price, but this is ~4.5 as an estimate
http://www.tf2outpost.com/search/205112233 - Flamenco has unsold at 4.5 buds and one even has a buyout of 4 budds
I guess this is alright, though it probably should have a range of like 4-4.5