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6 month old price, 4 on the market, not too many trackable sales.
Sales:
1. bubbling merry (1) + planets stuntsman (0.649) = 1.649*0.9 = ~1.5 after overpay
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18379541
(also offered 1 bud 8 keys, 1.4)
2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18327745
1:1 for a duped steaming bubble pipe (1.7 clean, so 1.5 after overpay, not sure how to value duped, can't tell what he sold for. leaving this out.)
3. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18659430
sold for smoking chieftains + several vintages (totalling ~4.5 keys not including paint, 0.2)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18667712
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18687850
chieftains is 1.4 outdated, but he sold it for 1 bud 7 keys pure (1.4) so we'll go with 1.4
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113466974?time=1395385200 -before
http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198113466974?time=1395471600 -after
1.4+0.2 = ~1.6
4. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18746929
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19419625
dead presidents brigade helm, can't tell from bp history if anything was added to the merry. 2.1, outdated anyway.
Brigade almost certainly deserves an update, I feel like a steaming bubble pipe wouldn't be hurt too much in value terms by the fact that it's duped so it's unlikely to make a significant difference. Suggesting 1.5-1.6 based on the other 2 sales.