7 month old price. 10 of these on the market, 3 of them trying to quicksell. Very little interest on current outpost trades in general.

Originally suggested 2-2.4, new price 1.4-2

Sales:

1. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18660054

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18678859

sold for a nuts modest ~1.7 with overpay

2. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19397967

offered on an aces slope scoper, ~2 no overpay required - duped, but selling higher than clean ones so I guess it shouldn't affect the sale.

3. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18746929

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19419625

blizz merryweather, ~1.4 with overpay.

4. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19071377

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19318764

sold for a miami fez ~1.8 after overpay.

5. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18829503

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18897245

sold for a disco officer's ushanka ~1.9 with overpay.

6. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18148071

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18523830

bought for blizz ten gallon + between 1 and 4 keys.

ten gallon is 1.7, but outdated.

7. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18374131

quicksold for 28 keys (1.4) nearly 2 months ago

8. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18450373

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18455296

sold with flies milkman for miami cowl, unpriced. his buyout for both was a max, and the milkman is outdated at 2.3. Outlier.

7. http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19038686 -"quicksold" after 20 days

http://backpack.tf/profiles/76561198084849369?time=1398582000

looks like it was paypal or SCM, but given that the guy now selling is asking 27 keys pure it's unlikely he got his 1.5 buyout.

Sellers:

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19446805 - 3 days

quickselling for 30-31 keys (1.5)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18615417 - 1 month

no buyout

highest offer is a stormy brigade 4 weeks ago, worth 1.7 with overpay.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19089416 - 2 weeks

buyout of 2.2

1 offer, unpriced disco guad.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19172558 - 2 weeks

buyout of 2.5

no offers at all

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19104659 - 2 weeks

buyout of 2

1 offer, KaW cotton head, he would have accepted. Unpriced.

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19462639 - 2 days

quickselling for 27 keys (1.4) (this is the guy who bought the quicksell that went for paypal or SCM earlier)

http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19498332 - 1 day

quickselling for 28 keys (1.4)

Conclusion:

There's an argument to be made for 1.4 being an outlier, but with 3 attempts at quickselling for 1.4-1.5 it seems unlikely that they will all be genuine quicksells, so I'm gonna leave it in for now and just take the whole range of sales. I did also find a miami OMA 1:1, currently priced at 2.6, but given buyouts at 2 both currently and in the recent past for this hat that seems like an outlier.