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Solds -
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18687014 - Sulphurous Brown Bomber(17.1) = ~17
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/18777282 - Duped Scorching Backwards Ballcap
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19305840 - Secret Waxy Wayfinder(15.5) & Haunted Dr's Dapper Topper(2.4) = 17.9 (????????) - appears that these users are friends and "lending" or using eachothers hats from time to time (i.e - http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2537438374,315,5 , http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2537438387,315,5 , http://www.tf2outpost.com/item/440,2537951558,753,5 ) - cuz appears he sold it (link below)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19325523 = ~18
So pretty... Julia Gillard wanted this for a while, but to them, it's been made "dirty". :-/
seems ok for me upvoat. (I'm the current owner of the antlers)
http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19372019 - Miami Jefe(N/A) + Demonflame Pirate(N/A) + Knifestorm Buccaneer's Bicorne(7) + 1bud - offered so no overpay - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19526224
Current seller - http://www.tf2outpost.com/trade/19632992 (20buds) , if he value that as 20, that's 20*0.9=18 above.
So fits my suggested range just fine.
So your two valid sales here are the bomber sale and the waxy + dappers sale. Waxy has an ancient price and there is a suggestion up for that at 13-15. That sale could be closer to 15.
Other two sales aren't usable in the absence of mini suggestions, but the ballcap is also probably closer to 15. Range seems too high. But regardless, this needs more digging into